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San Diego FC v Houston Dynamo

2026-10-15 02:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego FC (Local)

Prediction 49.24%2.03fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -2.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.16%49.15%49.12%49.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.861.851.9858.14%53.78%54.05%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Dynamo (Visit)

Prediction 26.50%3.77fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -0.745%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.88%26.51%26.35%27.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.423.483.6731.25%29.21%28.74%27.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.25%4.12fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -0.746%
Kelly -0.995%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.37%24.34%24.53%25.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.713.654.0028.57%26.98%27.40%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: San Diego FC (Local): 49.24%; Houston Dynamo (Visit): 26.50%; Draw: 24.25%. For San Diego FC (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.03. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.98, with an expected value of -2.50%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -2.50%E -1.26%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.42%EV -2.73%E -0.745%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.61%EV -4.44%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-04 11:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -3.98%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-04 11:25
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.30%EV -5.45%E -2.84%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.99%E -0.746%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-04 11:25
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -12.69%E -3.52%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-04 11:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -12.69%E -3.52%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-04 11:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -12.69%E -3.52%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-04 11:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.96%EV -6.44%E -3.39%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.43%EV -6.71%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.61%EV -8.32%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-04 11:38
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -6.44%E -3.39%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.84%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-04 11:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -7.42%E -3.95%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -5.92%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -9.05%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-04 11:20
ReBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.06%EV -8.90%E -4.81%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.08%EV -7.77%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -11.47%E -3.14%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-04 11:20
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.90%E -4.81%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.69%E -3.52%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-04 11:19
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.57%EV -8.90%E -4.81%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.62%EV -11.47%E -3.14%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-04 11:19
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -9.88%E -5.40%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -5.41%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-04 11:25
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -9.88%E -5.40%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -13.87%E -4.27%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -12.69%E -3.52%K -4.88%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-04 11:34
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -11.36%E -6.31%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.54%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -7.84%E -2.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-04 11:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.85%EV -11.36%E -6.31%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -13.87%E -4.27%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -11.47%E -3.14%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-04 11:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.27%EV -12.35%E -6.94%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.02%EV -10.69%E -3.17%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -13.90%E -3.92%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-04 11:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 48.88%EV -13.33%E -7.57%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.88%EV -15.19%E -4.75%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.23%EV -13.90%E -3.92%K -5.45%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-04 11:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 49.69%EV -15.30%E -8.90%K -21.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.90%EV -12.54%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.42%EV -15.11%E -4.32%K -6.04%G +0.000%17.0%2026-10-04 11:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 47.42%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.43%14.0%2026-10-04 13:10