The School of Odds

San Diego FC v FC Dallas

2026-07-26 01:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

San Diego FC (Local)

Prediction 45.84%2.18fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -2.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.69%45.80%45.88%46.44%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.862.012.012.1154%50%50%47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

FC Dallas (Visit)

Prediction 30.14%3.32fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -0.822%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.51%30.19%30.10%31.22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.753.033.003.2336%33%33%31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 24.03%4.16fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.363%
Kelly -0.481%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.01%24.01%24.03%24.76%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.503.823.804.1029%26%26%24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.97%EV -3.29%E -1.56%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.03%EV -2.66%E -0.822%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 24.01%EV -2.93%E -0.726%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-19 16:30
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.85%EV -3.74%E -1.78%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.09%EV -3.56%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.07%EV -3.89%E -0.973%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-20 06:38
GTbets2.09I 47.85%NM 45.58%EV -4.20%E -2.01%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.05%EV -4.46%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.36%EV -6.06%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 00:05
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.73%EV -4.66%E -2.24%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -5.07%E -1.61%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.08%EV -5.09%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 10:29
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.18%EV -5.58%E -2.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -3.56%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -5.09%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 19:40
BetOnline.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.18%EV -5.58%E -2.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -3.56%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -5.09%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 19:40
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -6.04%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.56%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -3.89%E -0.973%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 13:19
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.27%EV -6.04%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -6.57%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -1.49%E -0.363%K -0.481%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 13:15
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.27%EV -6.04%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -6.57%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -1.49%E -0.363%K -0.481%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 13:14
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.27%EV -6.04%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -6.57%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -1.49%E -0.363%K -0.481%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 13:20
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -6.04%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.07%E -1.61%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -3.89%E -0.973%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-19 13:14
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -6.04%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.57%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -8.70%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-19 13:15
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -6.04%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -6.57%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -9.90%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-19 15:15
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -6.04%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.10%E -3.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 16:35
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -6.04%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.10%E -3.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 16:35
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -6.04%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.10%E -3.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 16:35
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -6.04%E -2.94%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.10%E -3.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 16:35
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.91%EV -6.95%E -3.43%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -6.57%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.02%EV -6.78%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-19 14:10
MyBookie.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 45.80%EV -7.41%E -3.67%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -6.57%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.70%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-19 13:15
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.89%E -0.973%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-19 13:25
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.89%E -0.973%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-19 13:22
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.30%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 13:14
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.70%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-19 17:30
betano_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.70%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-19 16:30
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.70%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-19 16:30
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.10%E -3.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-19 13:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.10%E -3.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-19 13:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.10%E -3.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-19 13:25
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -8.33%E -4.16%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.10%E -3.00%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-19 13:25
ReBet1.99I 50.25%NM 45.76%EV -8.79%E -4.42%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 29.96%EV -8.38%E -2.76%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -9.90%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-19 23:35
LeoVegas1.98I 50.51%NM 45.85%EV -9.24%E -4.67%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.59%E -3.20%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.70%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-19 13:25
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -10.62%E -5.45%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.60%E -4.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -9.90%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-19 13:20
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 45.77%EV -12.45%E -6.52%K -13.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.22%EV -15.62%E -5.58%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.01%EV -8.70%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-19 13:30
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.14%EV -12.91%E -6.80%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.51%EV -10.49%E -3.53%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -13.50%E -3.75%K -5.19%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-19 13:13
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 45.72%EV -12.91%E -6.80%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.48%EV -14.11%E -4.95%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.80%EV -12.30%E -3.37%K -4.64%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-19 13:15
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.05%EV -14.29%E -7.64%K -16.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.69%EV -12.60%E -4.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.26%EV -14.70%E -4.14%K -5.77%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-20 01:35
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 45.29%EV -14.75%E -7.93%K -17.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.64%EV -17.12%E -6.23%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.07%EV -15.91%E -4.54%K -6.36%G +0.000%18.7%2026-07-19 13:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 45.79%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.94%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%7.0%2026-07-20 13:45
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%2.96I 33.78%NM 29.94%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.62%12.8%2026-07-19 13:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 30.03%1.04I 96.15%NM 34.65%1.02I 98.04%NM 35.33%177.5%2026-07-20 08:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 30.03%1.04I 96.15%NM 34.65%1.02I 98.04%NM 35.33%177.5%2026-07-20 08:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-20 07:45