The School of Odds

Real Salt Lake v Minnesota United FC

2026-08-16 01:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Real Salt Lake (Local)

Prediction 55.07%1.82fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -4.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.68%55.03%54.96%55.96%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.561.671.681.7664.10%59.86%59.52%56.82%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Minnesota United FC (Visit)

Prediction 21.55%4.64fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -0.479%
Kelly -0.615%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.17%21.64%21.46%22.49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.754.214.204.5426.67%23.76%23.81%22.03%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 23.38%4.28fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -0.828%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.38%23.33%23.58%24.15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.603.893.884.1327.78%25.70%25.81%24.21%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.13%EV -3.08%E -1.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.37%EV -2.18%E -0.479%K -0.615%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.49%EV -3.42%E -0.828%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-26 11:54
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.77%EV -4.73%E -2.74%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -5.19%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -6.46%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 11:55
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.96%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -7.35%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -4.12%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 11:55
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.38%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -5.19%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -4.12%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 11:55
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.38%E -3.76%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.14%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 11:55
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.38%E -3.76%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.14%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 11:55
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.38%E -3.76%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.14%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 11:54
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.38%E -3.76%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -9.50%E -2.26%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.14%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 11:55
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.16%EV -6.93%E -4.10%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -5.19%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.66%EV -7.86%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 13:14
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -8.04%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -5.19%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.12%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 11:55
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -8.04%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -6.70%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -6.46%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 11:54
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.04%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.81%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -12.31%E -3.28%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 11:55
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.18%EV -9.14%E -5.54%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -7.35%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -9.97%E -2.59%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 11:56
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 54.92%EV -9.14%E -5.54%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.84%EV -10.58%E -2.55%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.24%EV -8.80%E -2.26%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 11:55
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -10.79%E -6.66%K -17.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -13.81%E -3.45%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -6.46%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-26 11:55
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.59%EV -11.89%E -7.43%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.11%EV -14.89%E -3.77%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -12.31%E -3.28%K -4.48%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-26 11:55
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.94%EV -13.54%E -8.63%K -23.76%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.30%EV -12.73%E -3.14%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 23.76%EV -15.11%E -4.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-26 11:56
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 54.07%EV -14.09%E -9.03%K -25.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.49%EV -19.20%E -5.12%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.43%EV -15.81%E -4.39%K -6.08%G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-26 11:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.