Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Real Salt Lake v FC Dallas

2026-08-20 01:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Real Salt Lake (Local)

Prediction 50.34%1.99fair odd
EV -3.34%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -3.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.67%50.37%50.34%51.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.821.811.9258.82%54.81%55.10%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Dallas (Visit)

Prediction 26.24%3.81fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -0.645%
Kelly -0.882%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.06%26.03%26.24%27.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.493.503.7232.79%28.63%28.57%26.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.42%4.27fair odd
EV +3.29%
Edge +0.746%
Kelly +0.965%
Growth +0.032%

assuming max odds 4.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.99%23.60%23.42%25.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.223.894.004.4131.06%25.69%25.00%22.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Real Salt Lake (Local): 50.34%; FC Dallas (Visit): 26.24%; Draw: 23.42%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.27. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.41, producing a positive expected value of +3.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 51.58%EV -5.36%E -2.85%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.42%EV -3.71%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.99%EV +3.29%E +0.746%K +0.965%G +0.032%3.1%2026-08-02 12:04
SportsBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.67%EV -3.34%E -1.74%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -5.55%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 11:28
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.67%EV -3.34%E -1.74%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -5.55%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 11:29
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -4.35%E -2.29%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 11:30
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -4.35%E -2.29%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 11:30
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.88%E -4.30%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 11:30
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -9.39%E -5.21%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 12:54
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -9.39%E -5.21%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 12:55
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -9.39%E -5.21%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 12:55
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -9.39%E -5.21%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 12:55
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.87%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.06%EV -2.40%E -0.645%K -0.882%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -11.00%E -2.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 11:28
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -7.88%E -4.30%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -13.42%E -4.07%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.17%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-02 11:29
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 51.03%EV -11.90%E -6.80%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -6.86%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -12.17%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 11:29
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.12%EV -13.41%E -7.80%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.76%EV -13.34%E -3.60%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-02 11:29
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 50.87%EV -14.42%E -8.48%K -20.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.44%EV -10.80%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.69%EV -14.51%E -3.98%K -5.48%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-02 11:30
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 46.67%EV -9.89%E -5.52%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.39%EV -19.98%E -6.55%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 25.94%EV -24.58%E -7.63%K -11.07%G +0.000%19.7%2026-08-02 12:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 12:25