The School of Odds

Portland Timbers v Real Salt Lake

2026-07-26 02:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Portland Timbers (Local)

Prediction 40.16%2.49fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -0.990%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.60%40.18%40.15%40.98%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.052.282.302.4349%44%43%41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Real Salt Lake (Visit)

Prediction 35.47%2.82fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -0.892%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.43%35.44%35.41%36.62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.402.592.602.7542%39%38%36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 24.37%4.10fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -0.634%
Kelly -0.845%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.44%24.38%24.43%25.32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.453.733.754.0029%27%27%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.87%EV -2.41%E -0.990%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.48%EV -3.16%E -1.16%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.65%EV -4.24%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-19 17:00
GTbets2.39I 41.84%NM 39.88%EV -4.01%E -1.68%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.43%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.69%EV -5.95%E -1.54%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 00:05
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69%EV -5.62%E -2.39%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.23%E -1.57%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -2.53%E -0.634%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 14:35
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42%EV -5.62%E -2.39%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.00%E -2.26%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -2.53%E -0.634%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 14:35
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42%EV -5.62%E -2.39%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.00%E -2.26%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -2.53%E -0.634%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 13:29
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -5.62%E -2.39%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -6.00%E -2.26%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -4.97%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 13:25
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -5.62%E -2.39%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.83%EV -7.77%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -7.41%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-19 13:25
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 40.67%EV -6.02%E -2.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.61%EV -2.45%E -0.892%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 19:35
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 40.67%EV -6.02%E -2.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.61%EV -2.45%E -0.892%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -6.19%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 19:35
Marathon Bet2.34I 42.74%NM 39.86%EV -6.02%E -2.57%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.46%EV -6.71%E -2.55%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -7.90%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 16:58
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.69%EV -7.63%E -3.32%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.31%EV -6.00%E -2.26%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.97%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 13:25
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.63%E -3.32%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -4.23%E -1.57%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -9.84%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-19 16:35
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -7.63%E -3.32%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -7.07%E -2.70%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.41%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 14:34
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.63%E -3.32%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -7.77%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-19 14:35
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.63%E -3.32%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -7.77%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-19 13:25
betano_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.76%EV -7.63%E -3.32%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -9.55%E -3.74%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-19 16:30
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.76%EV -7.63%E -3.32%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -9.55%E -3.74%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-19 16:30
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.63%E -3.32%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.77%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 16:35
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.63%E -3.32%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.77%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 16:35
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.63%E -3.32%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.77%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 16:35
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.63%E -3.32%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.77%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 16:35
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -7.63%E -3.32%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -11.32%E -4.53%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.41%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-19 16:35
MyBookie.ag2.29I 43.67%NM 40.46%EV -8.03%E -3.51%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.83%EV -5.65%E -2.12%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-19 16:40
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.63%E -4.28%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.77%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-19 16:34
ReBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.35%EV -9.63%E -4.28%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 34.78%EV -7.42%E -2.84%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -11.06%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-19 23:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.63%E -4.28%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -11.32%E -4.53%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-19 13:25
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.63%E -4.28%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -11.32%E -4.53%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-19 13:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.63%E -4.28%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -11.32%E -4.53%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-19 13:25
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.63%E -4.28%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -11.32%E -4.53%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-19 13:25
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -11.64%E -5.29%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.33%EV -11.32%E -4.53%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-19 13:25
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -11.64%E -5.29%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.62%EV -14.87%E -6.20%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -8.63%E -2.30%K -3.14%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-19 13:30
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.84%EV -13.65%E -6.35%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.43%EV -9.55%E -3.74%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -13.50%E -3.80%K -5.29%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-19 16:34
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.41%EV -13.65%E -6.35%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -13.10%E -5.35%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.13%EV -12.28%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-19 16:35
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.98%EV -15.66%E -7.46%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.43%EV -11.32%E -4.53%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -14.72%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-20 02:35
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 40.84%EV -17.67%E -8.62%K -16.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.89%EV -14.87%E -6.20%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.27%EV -15.94%E -4.62%K -6.50%G +0.000%19.4%2026-07-19 16:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 40.01%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.26%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%5.0%2026-07-20 13:45
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 40.45%2.54I 39.37%NM 34.71%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%13.4%2026-07-19 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-07-20 08:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-07-20 08:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-19 17:15