默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Philadelphia Union v Toronto FC

2026-11-07 21:00 UTC — MLS

胜负盘

16 家博彩公司 (1 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Philadelphia Union (主队)

预测 72.12%1.39公平赔率
EV -4.08%
优势 -3.07%
Kelly -12.38%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.33

博彩公司预测分布
70.87%72.12%72.12%73.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.241.301.301.3380.65%77.11%76.92%75.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

Toronto FC (客队)

预测 11.72%8.53公平赔率
EV -0.389%
优势 -0.046%
Kelly -0.052%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 8.50

博彩公司预测分布
11.43%11.72%11.72%12.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.007.918.008.5014.29%12.65%12.50%11.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 16.16%6.19公平赔率
EV +1.03%
优势 +0.164%
Kelly +0.195%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 6.25

博彩公司预测分布
15.54%16.16%16.16%16.58%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.305.785.806.2518.87%17.30%17.24%16.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Philadelphia Union (主队):72.12%;Toronto FC (客队):11.72%;平局:16.16%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.19。 有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为6.25,由此产生+1.03%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (16 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.03%EV -4.08%E -3.07%K -12.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.43%EV -0.389%E -0.046%K -0.052%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +1.03%E +0.164%K +0.195%G +0.002%3.0%2026-10-31 21:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.03%EV -4.08%E -3.07%K -12.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.43%EV -0.389%E -0.046%K -0.052%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +1.03%E +0.164%K +0.195%G +0.002%3.0%2026-10-31 21:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.03%EV -4.08%E -3.07%K -12.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.43%EV -0.389%E -0.046%K -0.052%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +1.03%E +0.164%K +0.195%G +0.002%3.0%2026-10-31 21:40
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -6.25%E -4.81%K -20.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -6.25%E -0.781%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -6.25%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 21:45
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -6.25%E -4.81%K -20.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -6.25%E -0.781%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -6.25%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 21:40
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -6.25%E -4.81%K -20.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -6.25%E -0.781%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -6.25%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 21:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -6.25%E -4.81%K -20.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -6.25%E -0.781%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -6.25%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 21:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -6.25%E -4.81%K -20.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -6.25%E -0.781%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -6.25%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 21:40
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -6.25%E -4.81%K -20.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -6.25%E -0.781%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -6.25%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 21:40
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -6.25%E -4.81%K -20.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -6.25%E -0.781%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -6.25%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 21:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.86%EV -5.53%E -4.22%K -17.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -6.25%E -0.781%K -0.893%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -7.06%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 21:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.31%EV -6.97%E -5.40%K -24.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -12.11%E -1.61%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -9.48%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 21:10
Grosvenor🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.26%EV -7.69%E -6.01%K -27.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -12.11%E -1.61%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -11.10%E -2.02%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 21:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.26%EV -7.69%E -6.01%K -27.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -12.11%E -1.61%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -11.10%E -2.02%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 21:40
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.58%EV -9.13%E -7.25%K -35.13%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -12.11%E -1.61%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -11.10%E -2.02%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-31 21:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 70.87%EV -10.58%E -8.53%K -44.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.55%EV -17.97%E -2.57%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.58%EV -14.33%E -2.70%K -3.33%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-31 21:40
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.43I 69.93%NM 63.63%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.37%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.00%9.9%2026-11-01 00:00