默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Philadelphia Union v Inter Miami CF

2026-08-19 23:30 UTC — MLS

胜负盘

17 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Philadelphia Union (主队)

预测 37.45%2.67公平赔率
EV -2.63%
优势 -1.01%
Kelly -1.64%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.60

博彩公司预测分布
36.26%37.20%37.45%37.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.462.452.6043.48%40.61%40.82%38.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

Inter Miami CF (客队)

预测 39.58%2.53公平赔率
EV -5.00%
优势 -2.08%
Kelly -3.57%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.40

博彩公司预测分布
38.76%39.47%39.58%40.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.172.322.302.4046.08%43.09%43.48%41.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 22.97%4.35公平赔率
EV +1.51%
优势 +0.341%
Kelly +0.440%
增长率 +0.007%

假设最高赔率为 4.42

博彩公司预测分布
21.94%23.32%22.97%24.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.944.004.4227.78%25.39%25.00%22.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Philadelphia Union (主队):37.45%;Inter Miami CF (客队):39.58%;平局:22.97%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.35。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为4.42,由此产生+1.51%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.30%EV -2.63%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.75%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.94%EV +1.51%E +0.341%K +0.440%G +0.007%3.1%2026-08-02 12:04
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.46%EV -4.50%E -1.77%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV -3.55%E -0.844%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 11:25
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.72%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.29%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -5.84%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 11:25
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.72%EV -6.38%E -2.55%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.29%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -5.84%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 12:25
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.50%E -1.77%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.35%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -8.14%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 11:24
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.14%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 11:23
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -8.14%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 12:54
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -8.14%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 12:55
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -8.14%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 12:55
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -8.14%E -2.03%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 12:55
ReBet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.68%EV -7.12%E -2.87%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.38%EV -8.56%E -3.71%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -12.73%E -3.35%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 13:04
Marathon Bet2.57I 38.91%NM 36.29%EV -3.75%E -1.46%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -13.19%E -3.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 11:40
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 36.78%EV -8.25%E -3.37%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.18%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.03%EV -13.88%E -3.70%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-02 13:05
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.46%EV -10.87%E -4.57%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.76%EV -8.95%E -3.89%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -13.88%E -3.70%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-02 11:25
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.11%EV -11.99%E -5.10%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.64%EV -12.91%E -5.87%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.25%EV -13.88%E -3.70%K -5.05%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-02 13:04
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.49%EV -13.87%E -6.03%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.20%EV -12.91%E -5.87%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.31%EV -15.03%E -4.06%K -5.57%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-02 13:04
Betclic (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 36.26%EV -10.87%E -4.57%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 39.77%EV -14.10%E -6.50%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -17.33%E -4.81%K -6.66%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-02 13:04
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 36.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.21%16.4%2026-08-02 13:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 12:29