La escuela de los momios

Philadelphia Union v Atlanta United FC

2026-08-01 23:30 UTC — MLS

Resultado del partido

31 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Philadelphia Union (Local)

Predicción 54.36%1.84momio equitativo
EV -2.70%
Ventaja -1.51%
Kelly -3.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.79

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%54.37%54.33%57.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.611.711.701.7962.11%58.55%58.82%55.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atlanta United FC (Visitante)

Predicción 21.59%4.63momio equitativo
EV -0.697%
Ventaja -0.151%
Kelly -0.194%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.44%21.65%21.63%22.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.264.254.6025.00%23.50%23.53%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.06%4.16momio equitativo
EV -1.37%
Ventaja -0.334%
Kelly -0.442%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.43%23.99%24.04%24.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.583.843.804.1027.93%26.04%26.32%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (31 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 54.21%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.71%EV -3.50%E -0.784%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 24.08%EV -3.05%E -0.758%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-26 00:14
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 54.11%EV -4.33%E -2.46%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.84%EV -5.88%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.05%EV -4.74%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 00:05
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.46%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.42%EV -3.93%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%EV -4.98%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 01:34
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.46%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.42%EV -3.93%E -0.884%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.13%EV -4.98%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 01:35
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 54.32%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.56%EV -4.80%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.13%EV -5.22%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 00:50
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.89%EV -5.42%E -3.12%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -2.86%E -0.635%K -0.816%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 00:45
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.89%EV -5.42%E -3.12%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -2.86%E -0.635%K -0.816%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 00:50
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.75%EV -5.42%E -3.12%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -6.18%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 23:53
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 52.63%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.99%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 01:00
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 52.63%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.99%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 01:00
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.63%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.99%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 01:00
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.63%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.99%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 01:00
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18%EV -6.51%E -3.78%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -2.86%E -0.635%K -0.816%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 23:59
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.25%EV -6.51%E -3.78%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -7.17%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.05%EV -6.66%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 00:05
MyBookie.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 53.80%EV -6.51%E -3.78%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -7.17%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -9.79%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 23:58
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -2.86%E -0.635%K -0.816%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 23:59
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 53.68%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.99%EV -10.41%E -2.51%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -9.79%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 23:54
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -10.99%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 00:04
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -10.99%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 00:04
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.59%E -2.26%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.07%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -10.99%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-25 23:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.07%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -10.99%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-25 23:54
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 53.07%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -10.99%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-25 23:55
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 53.07%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -13.65%E -3.41%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -10.99%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-25 23:55
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -0.697%E -0.151%K -0.194%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -1.37%E -0.334%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 23:59
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -2.86%E -0.635%K -0.816%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.78%E -0.944%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 00:00
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -8.25%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.75%EV -7.38%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 23:59
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -6.53%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -9.79%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 23:59
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.83%EV -11.40%E -6.99%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.66%EV -12.57%E -3.10%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.51%EV -13.88%E -3.88%K -5.38%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-25 23:55
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -11.94%E -7.37%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -9.79%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 00:05
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.13%EV -12.49%E -7.76%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -2.86%E -0.635%K -0.816%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -1.37%E -0.334%K -0.442%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 00:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 53.12%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%13.4%2026-07-26 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-26 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-26 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-26 00:10