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Orlando City SC v Real Salt Lake

2026-08-22 23:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Orlando City SC (Local)

Prediction 39.62%2.52fair odd
EV -3.73%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -2.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.39%39.62%39.62%39.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.342.352.4344.44%42.76%42.55%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Real Salt Lake (Visit)

Prediction 36.51%2.74fair odd
EV -3.98%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -2.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.43%36.51%36.51%36.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.432.532.552.6341.15%39.48%39.22%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.87%4.19fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -0.518%
Kelly -0.685%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.42%23.87%23.87%24.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.893.904.1027.03%25.70%25.64%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Orlando City SC (Local): 39.62%; Real Salt Lake (Visit): 36.51%; Draw: 23.87%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.19. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.10, with an expected value of -2.12%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.74%EV -3.73%E -1.53%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.71%EV -3.98%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%EV -2.12%E -0.518%K -0.685%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-13 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.74%EV -3.73%E -1.53%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.71%EV -3.98%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%EV -2.12%E -0.518%K -0.685%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-13 00:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.74%EV -3.73%E -1.53%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.71%EV -3.98%E -1.51%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%EV -2.12%E -0.518%K -0.685%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-13 00:18
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -6.90%E -2.94%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.73%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.51%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 00:24
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.62%EV -6.90%E -2.94%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.90%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-13 00:19
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.62%EV -6.90%E -2.94%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.90%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-13 00:19
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.62%EV -6.90%E -2.94%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.90%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-13 00:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.62%EV -6.90%E -2.94%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.90%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-13 00:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.62%EV -6.90%E -2.94%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.90%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-13 00:20
Bally Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.62%EV -6.90%E -2.94%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.90%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-13 00:19
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.62%EV -6.90%E -2.94%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.90%E -2.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.90%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-13 00:20
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -8.88%E -3.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.29%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-13 00:20
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.39%EV -9.67%E -4.24%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.66%EV -10.55%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-13 00:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -10.86%E -4.83%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -11.28%E -4.64%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.00%EV -11.67%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-13 00:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -10.86%E -4.83%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -11.28%E -4.64%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.00%EV -11.67%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-13 00:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -10.86%E -4.83%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -11.28%E -4.64%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.00%EV -11.67%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-13 00:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 34.87%2.17I 46.08%NM 34.87%2.50I 40.00%NM 30.26%32.2%2026-08-13 00:50

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