Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Orlando City SC v Philadelphia Union

Kickoff: 2026-05-13 23:40 UTC

Final: Orlando City SC 4–3 Philadelphia Union

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Orlando City SC (Local)

Prediction 39.75%2.52fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.414%
Kelly -0.692%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.74%39.76%39.75%41.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.162.312.302.4946.30%43.22%43.48%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia Union (Visit)

Prediction 34.53%2.90fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -0.801%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.85%34.52%34.54%35.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.692.702.8340.00%37.14%37.04%35.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.72%3.89fair odd
EV +5.45%
Edge +1.33%
Kelly +1.76%
Growth +0.096%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.40%25.72%25.71%28.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.663.664.1033.33%27.36%27.36%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orlando City SC (Local): 39.75%; Philadelphia Union (Visit): 34.53%; Draw: 25.72%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.45%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.71%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.89%EV -5.03%E -1.83%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV +5.45%E +1.33%K +1.76%G +0.096%4.2%2026-05-13 23:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.71%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.89%EV -5.03%E -1.83%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV +5.45%E +1.33%K +1.76%G +0.096%4.2%2026-05-13 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.71%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.89%EV -5.03%E -1.83%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV +5.45%E +1.33%K +1.76%G +0.096%4.2%2026-05-13 23:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -10.57%E -4.70%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV +2.87%E +0.719%K +0.958%G +0.028%6.5%2026-05-13 23:35
1xBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.92%EV -5.80%E -2.45%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.27%EV -2.27%E -0.801%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.81%EV +0.560%E +0.143%K +0.192%G +0.001%3.1%2026-05-13 23:29
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.38%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.81%EV -0.983%E -0.255%K -0.345%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 23:05
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.15%EV -3.30%E -1.18%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.16%EV -2.27%E -0.597%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 23:25
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.03%E -1.83%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -2.27%E -0.597%K -0.810%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 23:33
LiveScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.68%EV -14.15%E -6.55%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.63%EV -10.21%E -3.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -2.27%E -0.597%K -0.810%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-13 23:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.68%EV -14.15%E -6.55%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.63%EV -10.21%E -3.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -2.27%E -0.597%K -0.810%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-13 23:35
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.83%EV -3.42%E -1.41%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.57%EV -3.30%E -1.18%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.60%EV -2.78%E -0.736%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-13 23:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.25%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.13%EV -2.27%E -0.801%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.62%EV -3.04%E -0.807%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-13 23:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.25%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.13%EV -2.27%E -0.801%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.62%EV -3.04%E -0.807%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-13 23:15
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -5.03%E -1.83%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -3.56%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 23:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -8.48%E -3.20%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -3.56%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 23:05
GTbets🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.61%EV -1.03%E -0.414%K -0.692%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.48%EV -6.41%E -2.37%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.91%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 22:40
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.91%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.21%EV -3.30%E -1.18%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.89%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 23:35
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -5.03%E -1.83%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 23:32
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -5.03%E -1.83%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 23:29
MyBookie.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.41%EV -5.01%E -2.09%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.14%EV -7.45%E -2.78%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 22:44
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 22:45
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -5.03%E -1.83%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 23:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -5.03%E -1.83%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 23:25
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -5.03%E -1.83%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 23:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -5.03%E -1.83%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 23:25
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -5.03%E -1.83%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 23:25
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -5.03%E -1.83%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 23:25
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -9.38%E -4.11%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -5.03%E -1.83%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-13 23:25
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -9.38%E -4.11%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -5.03%E -1.83%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-13 23:25
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 23:20
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.24%EV -12.56%E -5.71%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -8.48%E -3.20%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 23:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -6.99%E -2.99%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.67%EV -7.10%E -2.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.48%EV -5.87%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 23:25
BetAnything🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.72%EV -5.80%E -2.45%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.48%EV -5.72%E -2.10%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 23:05
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.82%EV -10.57%E -4.70%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 23:25
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.18%EV -10.21%E -3.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -6.13%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-13 23:05
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.30%E -1.18%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 23:20
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.03%E -1.83%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 23:30
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 22:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.48%E -3.20%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 22:39
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.48%E -3.20%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 22:40
Everygame🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 22:40
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -10.21%E -3.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 23:04
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 23:05
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 23:05
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -10.57%E -4.70%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-13 23:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.89%EV -11.37%E -5.10%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.41%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-13 23:25
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.38%EV -6.06%E -2.23%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 23:34
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.38%EV -6.06%E -2.23%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 23:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.74%EV -10.57%E -4.70%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.07%EV -11.94%E -4.68%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.19%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-13 23:05
Caesars🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 22:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -10.57%E -4.70%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -3.30%E -1.18%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 23:30
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -6.76%E -2.50%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-13 23:30
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -9.52%E -3.63%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 22:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -9.52%E -3.63%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 22:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -9.52%E -3.63%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 22:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -10.57%E -4.70%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -10.21%E -3.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-13 22:45
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -10.57%E -4.70%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -10.21%E -3.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-13 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -10.57%E -4.70%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -10.21%E -3.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-13 22:45
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -10.57%E -4.70%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -10.21%E -3.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-13 22:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 39.81%EV -11.76%E -5.30%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 34.93%EV -12.63%E -4.99%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.25%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-13 23:34
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -12.56%E -5.71%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -13.66%E -5.47%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-13 23:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -10.21%E -3.93%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-13 23:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.69%EV -12.56%E -5.71%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.24%EV -11.94%E -4.68%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -13.84%E -4.13%K -5.89%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-13 23:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 37.74%EV -10.57%E -4.70%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.96%EV -13.66%E -5.47%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -22.84%E -7.61%K -11.42%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-13 23:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.40%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.68%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.92%1.5%2026-05-13 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.30%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.84%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.86%1.8%2026-05-13 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.59%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.84%1.8%2026-05-13 23:35
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-05-13 23:35
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.45%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.66%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%3.0%2026-05-13 23:35
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.86%3.1%2026-05-13 23:35