Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Orlando City SC v New York Red Bulls

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 00:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Orlando City SC (Local)

Prediction 51.96%1.92fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -2.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.56%51.98%51.89%53.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.791.801.8862.50%55.81%55.56%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Red Bulls (Visit)

Prediction 23.39%4.27fair odd
EV +3.16%
Edge +0.717%
Kelly +0.927%
Growth +0.029%

assuming max odds 4.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.98%23.39%23.60%25.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.933.904.4129.41%25.45%25.64%22.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.65%4.06fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.351%
Kelly -0.469%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.33%24.64%24.51%26.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.743.804.0030.77%26.71%26.32%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orlando City SC (Local): 51.96%; New York Red Bulls (Visit): 23.39%; Draw: 24.65%. For New York Red Bulls (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.27. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.41, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.16%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.97%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.98%EV +3.16%E +0.717%K +0.927%G +0.029%3.87I 25.84%NM 25.05%EV -4.61%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 00:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.35%EV -5.95%E -3.29%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.20%EV +1.76%E +0.404%K +0.525%G +0.009%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.45%EV -2.64%E -0.668%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.35%EV -5.95%E -3.29%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.20%EV +1.76%E +0.404%K +0.525%G +0.009%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.45%EV -2.64%E -0.668%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 00:10
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.06%EV -5.95%E -3.29%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.38%EV +0.354%E +0.082%K +0.108%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.56%EV -3.62%E -0.927%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 00:20
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -6.47%E -3.60%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -1.75%E -0.417%K -0.547%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.34%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 00:25
Bovada🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -7.51%E -4.22%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -1.75%E -0.417%K -0.547%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.34%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 00:15
BetUS🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -7.51%E -4.22%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -1.75%E -0.417%K -0.547%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.34%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 00:15
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -9.07%E -5.18%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -1.75%E -0.417%K -0.547%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.87%E -0.992%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 00:25
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.75%EV -9.59%E -5.51%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -1.75%E -0.417%K -0.547%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -3.87%E -0.992%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 00:25
GTbets🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.35%EV -5.43%E -2.99%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.96%EV -2.92%E -0.704%K -0.927%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.69%EV -4.86%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 00:25
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.80%EV -5.43%E -2.99%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -2.92%E -0.704%K -0.927%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -8.80%E -2.38%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 00:05
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.80%EV -5.43%E -2.99%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -2.92%E -0.704%K -0.927%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -8.80%E -2.38%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 00:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.47%E -3.60%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.09%E -0.998%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.34%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 00:10
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -6.47%E -3.60%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.09%E -0.998%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -7.57%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 00:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -8.03%E -4.54%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -4.09%E -0.998%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.34%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 00:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.06%EV -2.32%E -1.23%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.94%EV -5.10%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 00:25
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.06%EV -2.32%E -1.23%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.94%EV -5.10%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 00:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.06%EV -2.32%E -1.23%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.94%EV -5.10%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 00:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.06%EV -2.32%E -1.23%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.94%EV -5.10%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 00:25
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -3.88%E -2.10%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -5.10%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 00:25
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.07%E -5.18%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -1.41%E -0.351%K -0.469%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 00:25
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.07%E -5.18%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -6.34%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 00:05
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.07%E -5.18%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.27%E -3.13%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 00:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.07%E -5.18%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.27%E -3.13%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 00:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.07%E -5.18%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.27%E -3.13%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 00:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.12%EV -4.40%E -2.39%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -6.34%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.34%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 00:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.34%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 00:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.34%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 00:25
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.34%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 00:25
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.34%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 00:25
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.34%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 00:25
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.34%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 00:05
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.34%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 00:25
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.34%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-22 00:25
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.57%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 00:23
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -5.43%E -2.99%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.57%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 00:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -5.43%E -2.99%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.57%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 00:25
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -6.47%E -3.60%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -8.80%E -2.38%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 00:05
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.09%EV -8.03%E -4.54%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -6.34%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 00:10
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.47%E -3.60%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.57%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 00:05
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.47%E -3.60%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.80%E -2.38%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 00:25
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -6.47%E -3.60%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -10.03%E -2.75%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 00:10
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.60%EV -8.03%E -4.54%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -8.80%E -2.38%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 00:25
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.34%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 00:09
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.27%E -3.13%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-22 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.12%EV -7.51%E -4.22%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -10.03%E -2.75%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 00:25
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.18%EV -10.11%E -5.84%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -7.57%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-22 00:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 51.25%EV -13.23%E -7.92%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -12.28%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -18.66%E -5.65%K -8.11%G +0.000%16.8%2026-02-22 00:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.30%EV -7.51%E -4.22%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -13.45%E -3.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -6.34%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 00:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 52.74%EV -16.87%E -10.54%K -28.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.81%EV -13.45%E -3.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.46%EV -14.96%E -4.34%K -6.11%G +0.000%18.5%2026-02-22 00:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -9.07%E -5.18%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -15.79%E -4.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -8.80%E -2.38%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-22 00:20
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -9.07%E -5.18%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -15.79%E -4.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -8.80%E -2.38%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-22 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -9.07%E -5.18%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -15.79%E -4.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -8.80%E -2.38%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-22 00:25
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -9.07%E -5.18%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -15.79%E -4.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -8.80%E -2.38%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-22 00:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 50.86%EV -11.15%E -6.52%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.29%EV -16.25%E -4.54%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.85%EV -13.73%E -3.92%K -5.49%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-22 00:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.79%EV -11.67%E -6.86%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.32%EV -16.96%E -4.78%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 24.88%EV -14.47%E -4.17%K -5.86%G +0.000%15.8%2026-02-22 00:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.49%EV -9.59%E -5.51%K -12.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -18.13%E -5.18%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.40%EV -11.27%E -3.13%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-22 00:05
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 48.56%EV -8.55%E -4.86%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.14%EV -20.47%E -6.02%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.30%EV -19.89%E -6.12%K -8.84%G +0.000%17.0%2026-02-21 07:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%0.9%2026-02-22 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.43%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.11%1.2%2026-02-22 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.43%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.11%1.2%2026-02-22 00:20
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 52.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63%1.5%2026-02-22 00:25
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 52.97%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.37%2.6%2026-02-22 00:25