Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Orlando City SC v New England Revolution

2026-11-07 21:00 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Orlando City SC (Local)

Prediction 44.46%2.25fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -3.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.04%44.46%44.46%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.092.102.1750.76%47.78%47.62%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New England Revolution (Visit)

Prediction 32.20%3.11fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.02%32.20%32.20%32.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.882.903.0037.04%34.67%34.48%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.34%4.28fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -0.467%
Kelly -0.613%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.07%23.34%23.34%23.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.984.004.2027.03%25.12%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Orlando City SC (Local): 44.46%; New England Revolution (Visit): 32.20%; Draw: 23.34%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.28. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.20, with an expected value of -1.96%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -3.52%E -1.62%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.29%EV -3.41%E -1.14%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%EV -1.96%E -0.467%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-31 21:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -3.52%E -1.62%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.29%EV -3.41%E -1.14%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%EV -1.96%E -0.467%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-31 21:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -3.52%E -1.62%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.29%EV -3.41%E -1.14%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%EV -1.96%E -0.467%K -0.613%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-31 21:40
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.63%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.63%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 21:45
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.63%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.63%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 21:40
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.63%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.63%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 21:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.63%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.63%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 21:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.63%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.63%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 21:40
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.63%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.63%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 21:40
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.63%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.63%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 21:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -6.63%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.63%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 22:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -7.96%E -3.85%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -8.24%E -2.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%EV -8.97%E -2.30%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 21:40
Grosvenor🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.04%EV -8.41%E -4.08%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.40%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -10.13%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 21:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.04%EV -8.41%E -4.08%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.40%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -10.13%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 21:40
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.39%EV -10.19%E -5.04%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -9.85%E -3.52%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -11.30%E -2.97%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-31 21:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.21%EV -12.41%E -6.30%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -13.07%E -4.84%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.54%EV -13.63%E -3.68%K -5.05%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-31 21:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.99%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%10.0%2026-10-31 22:20