默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Orlando City SC v Chicago Fire

2026-08-19 23:30 UTC — MLS

胜负盘

17 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Orlando City SC (主队)

预测 29.74%3.36公平赔率
EV -4.24%
优势 -1.32%
Kelly -1.91%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.22

博彩公司预测分布
28.83%29.64%29.74%30.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.783.073.103.2235.97%32.53%32.26%31.06%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chicago Fire (客队)

预测 47.33%2.11公平赔率
EV -4.40%
优势 -2.18%
Kelly -4.32%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.02

博彩公司预测分布
44.46%47.27%47.33%48.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.841.941.912.0254.35%51.62%52.36%49.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 22.93%4.36公平赔率
EV +5.27%
优势 +1.15%
Kelly +1.47%
增长率 +0.077%

假设最高赔率为 4.59

博彩公司预测分布
21.14%23.09%22.93%25.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.283.954.004.5930.49%25.33%25.00%21.79%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Orlando City SC (主队):29.74%;Chicago Fire (客队):47.33%;平局:22.93%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.36。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为4.59,由此产生+5.27%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.53%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 21.14%EV +5.27%E +1.15%K +1.47%G +0.077%3.0%2026-08-02 12:10
Coolbet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.89%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.34%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -3.68%E -0.875%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 11:44
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.08%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -5.97%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:44
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -5.97%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 12:25
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.91%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.11%EV -5.35%E -2.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -5.97%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 11:44
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.72%E -3.96%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.26%E -2.07%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 11:49
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -9.61%E -5.03%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -8.26%E -2.07%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 14:04
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -9.61%E -5.03%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -8.26%E -2.07%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 14:04
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -9.61%E -5.03%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -8.26%E -2.07%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 14:04
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -9.61%E -5.03%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -8.26%E -2.07%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 14:04
Marathon Bet3.22I 31.06%NM 28.97%EV -4.24%E -1.32%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.11%EV -6.30%E -3.18%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -10.56%E -2.71%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 12:04
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.10%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.47%EV -10.08%E -5.31%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.43%EV -11.70%E -3.04%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-02 12:04
ReBet3.16I 31.65%NM 28.83%EV -6.02%E -1.91%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.20%EV -8.66%E -4.49%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -12.85%E -3.38%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-02 11:50
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -9.61%E -5.03%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.00%E -3.73%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-02 11:49
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.30%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.26%EV -11.97%E -6.44%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -14.00%E -3.73%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-02 11:49
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.41%EV -12.27%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.15%EV -12.92%E -7.02%K -15.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.45%EV -15.14%E -4.09%K -5.61%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-02 11:50
Betclic (FR)2.78I 35.97%NM 30.06%EV -17.32%E -6.23%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 44.46%EV -11.03%E -5.87%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 25.48%EV -24.78%E -7.55%K -10.87%G +0.000%19.7%2026-08-02 12:09
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 28.91%1.84I 54.35%NM 46.82%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.27%16.1%2026-08-02 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 12:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 12:29