Language:English
New York Red Bulls v Toronto FC
Head to Head
New York Red Bulls (Local)
Prediction 42.89%2.33fair odd
EV -4.35%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -3.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.57%42.89%42.89%43.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.172.172.2347.62%46.08%46.08%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Toronto FC (Visit)
Prediction 33.24%3.01fair odd
EV -3.60%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.84%33.24%33.24%33.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.812.802.9037.04%35.63%35.71%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.87%4.19fair odd
EV -4.54%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.32%23.87%23.87%24.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.893.904.0027.03%25.73%25.64%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: New York Red Bulls (Local): 42.89%; Toronto FC (Visit): 33.24%; Draw: 23.87%. For Toronto FC (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.01. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.90, with an expected value of -3.60%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.98%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.05%EV -3.60%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.96%EV -4.54%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 00:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.98%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.05%EV -3.60%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.96%EV -4.54%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 00:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.98%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.05%EV -3.60%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.96%EV -4.54%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-11 00:16 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -6.92%E -3.19%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.24%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.92%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-11 00:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -6.92%E -3.19%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.24%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.92%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-11 00:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -6.92%E -3.19%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.24%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.92%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-11 00:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -6.92%E -3.19%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.24%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.92%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-11 00:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -6.92%E -3.19%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.24%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.92%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-11 00:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -6.92%E -3.19%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.24%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.92%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-11 00:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -6.92%E -3.19%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.24%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.92%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-11 00:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -4.54%E -1.13%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-11 00:16 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -8.21%E -3.84%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.84%EV -6.92%E -2.47%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.31%E -2.45%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-11 00:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.57%EV -8.21%E -3.84%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -8.59%E -3.12%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%EV -10.50%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-11 00:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.57%EV -8.21%E -3.84%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -8.59%E -3.12%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%EV -10.50%E -2.80%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-11 00:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.64%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.16%EV -10.25%E -3.80%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -11.70%E -3.16%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-11 00:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 40.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 36.25% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 23.24% | 37.9% | 2026-10-11 01:01 |