Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Red Bulls v St. Louis City SC

2026-09-30 23:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Red Bulls (Local)

Prediction 25.96%3.85fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.352%
Kelly -0.478%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.26%25.93%26.11%27.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.563.583.8030.77%28.08%27.93%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Louis City SC (Visit)

Prediction 51.25%1.95fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -2.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.35%51.26%51.32%52.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.811.811.9159.88%55.34%55.25%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.79%4.39fair odd
EV -0.633%
Edge -0.145%
Kelly -0.188%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.87%22.81%22.58%24.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.044.004.3626.67%24.77%25.00%22.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: New York Red Bulls (Local): 25.96%; St. Louis City SC (Visit): 51.25%; Draw: 22.79%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.39. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.36, with an expected value of -0.633%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -1.34%E -0.352%K -0.478%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.57%EV -7.25%E -4.00%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39%EV -3.14%E -0.739%K -0.966%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 17:15
FanDuel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -1.34%E -0.352%K -0.478%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -9.30%E -5.25%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.28%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-26 17:19
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -1.34%E -0.352%K -0.478%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -10.32%E -5.90%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.84%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-26 17:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.73%EV -2.64%E -0.703%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.15%EV -5.20%E -2.81%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.13%EV -0.633%E -0.145%K -0.188%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-26 17:21
BetOnline.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.73%EV -2.64%E -0.703%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.15%EV -5.20%E -2.81%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.13%EV -0.633%E -0.145%K -0.188%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-26 17:20
Betr (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.64%E -0.703%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -7.76%E -4.31%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.28%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-26 17:16
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.64%E -0.703%K -0.958%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -7.76%E -4.31%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.28%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-26 17:20
1xBet🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 25.99%EV -3.15%E -0.846%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.76%EV -2.12%E -1.11%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.25%EV -4.96%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-26 18:04
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -6.53%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -2.12%E -1.11%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -8.84%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 19:05
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.53%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.76%E -4.31%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.84%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-26 17:20
Bet Right🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.53%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -8.78%E -4.93%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.84%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-26 17:16
Marathon Bet🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 25.97%EV -7.05%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.80%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.84%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-26 17:25
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -9.13%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -4.17%E -2.23%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.12%E -2.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-26 19:00
MyBookie.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -9.13%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.06%EV -7.25%E -4.00%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -6.56%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-26 19:09
ReBet🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 26.37%EV -10.68%E -3.11%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%EV -8.78%E -4.93%K -11.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -8.84%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-26 19:05
LeoVegas🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -11.72%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -9.30%E -5.25%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -6.56%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-26 19:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.72%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -14.54%E -3.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-26 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.72%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -14.54%E -3.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-26 19:05
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.72%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -14.54%E -3.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-26 19:05
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.72%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -6.22%E -3.40%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -14.54%E -3.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-26 19:05
Unibet (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.59%EV -11.72%E -3.45%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.10%EV -14.42%E -8.63%K -21.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.31%EV -11.12%E -2.85%K -3.83%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-26 19:04
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -14.32%E -4.34%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.95%EV -9.81%E -5.57%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -6.56%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-26 19:05
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -15.62%E -4.81%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.04%EV -11.86%E -6.89%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -8.84%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-26 19:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.94%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57%1.9%2026-09-26 17:16
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-26 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-26 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-09-26 18:45