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New York Red Bulls v St. Louis City SC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Red Bulls (Local)
Prediction 26.24%3.81fair odd
EV -4.23%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.86%26.51%26.24%27.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.513.553.6531.25%28.49%28.17%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St. Louis City SC (Visit)
Prediction 50.48%1.98fair odd
EV -3.59%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -3.94%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.50%50.35%50.48%50.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.841.851.9157.14%54.24%54.20%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.29%4.29fair odd
EV -4.53%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.05%23.14%23.29%24.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.803.944.004.1026.32%25.36%25.00%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Red Bulls (Local): 26.24%; St. Louis City SC (Visit): 50.48%; Draw: 23.29%. For St. Louis City SC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.98. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.91, with an expected value of -3.59%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.31%EV -4.23%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.27%EV -3.59%E -1.88%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%EV -4.53%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-26 04:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.31%EV -4.23%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.27%EV -3.59%E -1.88%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%EV -4.53%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-26 04:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.31%EV -4.23%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.27%EV -3.59%E -1.88%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%EV -4.53%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-26 04:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.54%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.53%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-26 11:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.54%E -1.54%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-26 04:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -6.86%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.41%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-26 04:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -6.86%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.41%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-26 04:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -6.86%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.41%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-26 04:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -6.86%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.41%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-26 04:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -6.86%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.41%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-26 04:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -6.86%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.41%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-26 04:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -6.86%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.41%EV -6.62%E -3.58%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-26 04:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -6.86%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-26 12:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.50%EV -5.61%E -3.00%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -10.35%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-26 22:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-26 13:21 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-26 13:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-26 13:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.17%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-26 13:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -9.48%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.87%EV -7.12%E -3.87%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.19%E -2.36%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-26 04:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -10.79%E -3.17%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -10.35%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-26 04:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -10.79%E -3.17%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.66%EV -7.63%E -4.17%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -10.35%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-26 04:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.79%E -3.17%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -8.13%E -4.47%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-26 04:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -12.10%E -3.61%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.73%EV -9.14%E -5.08%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -11.51%E -3.03%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-26 04:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -16.04%E -5.01%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.39%EV -11.67%E -6.67%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -6.86%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-26 14:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.