Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Red Bulls v Philadelphia Union

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 23:40 UTC

Final: New York Red Bulls 1–3 Philadelphia Union

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Red Bulls (Local)

Prediction 30.15%3.32fair odd
EV +1.60%
Edge +0.475%
Kelly +0.676%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 3.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.77%30.21%30.11%32.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.033.003.3736.36%33.01%33.33%29.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia Union (Visit)

Prediction 45.79%2.18fair odd
EV +0.744%
Edge +0.338%
Kelly +0.620%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.20%45.75%45.81%47.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.052.052.2052.36%48.69%48.78%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.06%4.16fair odd
EV -0.158%
Edge -0.038%
Kelly -0.050%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.87%24.03%24.08%26.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.833.824.1528.17%26.08%26.18%24.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Red Bulls (Local): 30.15%; Philadelphia Union (Visit): 45.79%; Draw: 24.06%. For New York Red Bulls (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.32. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.37, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.60%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.77%EV +1.60%E +0.475%K +0.676%G +0.011%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.53%EV -6.58%E -3.23%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.70%EV -1.60%E -0.392%K -0.518%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-29 23:20
GTbets🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.57%EV -1.71%E -0.526%K -0.759%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.57%EV -5.21%E -2.52%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.86%EV -2.80%E -0.694%K -0.923%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-29 23:25
DraftKings🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -2.02%E -0.620%K -0.896%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -3.77%E -0.942%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 23:35
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -2.02%E -0.620%K -0.896%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -4.75%E -2.28%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -13.39%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 23:20
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -2.02%E -0.620%K -0.896%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -4.75%E -2.28%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -13.39%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 23:19
Pinnacle🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 29.92%EV -2.62%E -0.811%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.46%EV -4.75%E -2.28%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.63%EV -1.60%E -0.392%K -0.518%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 23:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.52%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -3.77%E -0.942%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 23:29
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -3.52%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.46%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.87%EV -0.158%E -0.038%K -0.050%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 23:05
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -3.52%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.16%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -6.17%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 23:35
BetUS🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.42%EV -5.03%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.77%E -0.942%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 23:20
ReBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -5.03%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -6.17%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 23:35
TAB🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -5.03%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -10.98%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 23:20
BetOnline.ag🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.76%EV -5.33%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.56%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.67%EV -1.84%E -0.452%K -0.598%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.76%EV -5.33%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.56%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.67%EV -1.84%E -0.452%K -0.598%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -5.94%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.71%EV -6.58%E -3.23%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.41%EV -8.10%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 23:25
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.37%EV -4.75%E -2.28%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -6.17%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 23:25
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -6.17%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 23:25
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -6.17%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 23:25
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -6.17%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 23:19
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -8.58%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 23:20
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -8.58%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 23:35
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.66%EV -7.50%E -3.71%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -9.78%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 23:20
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -8.58%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 23:35
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -10.98%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 23:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -10.98%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 23:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -10.98%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 23:25
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.54%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -13.39%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 23:35
Caesars🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -8.05%E -2.64%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.02%EV -4.29%E -2.05%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -6.17%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 23:22
Fliff🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -8.05%E -2.64%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.68%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.78%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.02%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.66%EV +0.744%E +0.338%K +0.620%G +0.005%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.32%EV -4.97%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 23:33
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.99%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.02%EV -0.172%E -0.079%K -0.145%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -3.77%E -0.942%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 23:15
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.99%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.02%EV -0.172%E -0.079%K -0.145%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -3.77%E -0.942%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 23:15
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.95%EV -1.55%E -0.719%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -7.38%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 20:40
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.18%EV -4.75%E -2.28%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -3.77%E -0.942%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 23:20
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -1.36%E -0.332%K -0.439%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 23:20
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.77%E -0.942%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 23:20
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.58%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 23:20
MyBookie.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.58%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 23:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.58%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 23:20
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -12.19%E -3.34%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 23:35
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.09%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.83%EV -9.79%E -4.97%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -9.78%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 23:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.39%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 23:20
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.39%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 23:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.39%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 23:20
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.39%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 23:25
Betclic (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.55%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.17%EV -12.08%E -6.29%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -12.19%E -3.34%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 23:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -11.06%E -3.75%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%EV -8.41%E -4.21%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -3.77%E -0.942%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 23:29
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -11.06%E -3.75%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.46%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -10.98%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 23:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -12.57%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.77%E -0.942%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 23:15
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.14%EV -12.57%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.96%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.17%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 23:15
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.14%EV -12.57%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.96%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.17%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 23:16
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.14%EV -12.57%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.96%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.17%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 23:15
Bally Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.14%EV -12.57%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.96%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.17%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 23:15
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.14%EV -12.57%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.96%EV -2.92%E -1.38%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.17%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 23:15
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -12.57%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -1.55%E -0.719%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -8.58%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 23:33
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -12.57%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -1.55%E -0.719%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -8.58%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 23:33
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -12.57%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.79%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -6.17%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 23:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.34%EV -12.57%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.88%EV -10.25%E -5.23%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.78%EV -14.59%E -4.11%K -5.72%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-29 23:35
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -13.17%E -4.57%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -3.77%E -0.942%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 23:20
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -14.08%E -4.94%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -3.84%E -1.83%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -10.98%E -2.97%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 23:33
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -15.58%E -5.57%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.53%EV -4.75%E -2.28%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -9.78%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 23:15
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.94%EV -15.58%E -5.57%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.21%EV -5.21%E -2.52%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -13.39%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 23:33
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.22%EV -15.58%E -5.57%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.77%EV -12.54%E -6.56%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.01%EV -8.58%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-29 23:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.24%EV -17.09%E -6.21%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.46%EV -6.58%E -3.23%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -12.19%E -3.34%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 23:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.20%EV -17.09%E -6.21%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -6.12%E -2.99%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -13.39%E -3.72%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-29 23:33
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.50%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.75%1.0%2026-08-29 23:35
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-08-29 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.20%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%1.9%2026-08-29 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.02%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%2.5%2026-08-29 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.02%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.39%2.5%2026-08-29 23:35
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 30.42%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%4.4%2026-08-29 23:35