The School of Odds

New York Red Bulls v Orlando City SC

2026-08-01 23:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

New York Red Bulls (Local)

Prediction 48.59%2.06fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -3.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.76%48.69%48.59%50.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.821.901.911.9954.95%52.60%52.36%50.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Orlando City SC (Visit)

Prediction 28.97%3.45fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -0.612%
Kelly -0.869%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.14%28.97%28.96%29.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.003.183.203.3833.33%31.41%31.25%29.59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 22.43%4.46fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.294%
Kelly -0.380%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.11%22.34%22.45%23.47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.854.134.104.4025.97%24.24%24.39%22.73%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 48.79%EV -3.30%E -1.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.73%EV -2.07%E -0.612%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.48%EV -3.09%E -0.715%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-26 00:59
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.97%EV -3.79%E -1.91%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -4.66%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 00:40
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.97%EV -3.79%E -1.91%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -4.66%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 00:40
GTbets1.97I 50.76%NM 48.28%EV -4.27%E -2.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.18%EV -5.54%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.54%EV -5.33%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 00:05
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -4.39%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -3.54%E -0.822%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 00:45
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 48.73%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.71%EV -4.10%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.57%EV -5.56%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 00:50
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.42%EV -6.22%E -3.22%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -4.39%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -1.29%E -0.294%K -0.380%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 00:04
MyBookie.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.13%EV -6.22%E -3.22%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.21%EV -7.86%E -2.47%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -8.02%E -1.96%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 00:09
SportsBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.55%EV -6.70%E -3.49%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -4.39%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62%EV -1.29%E -0.294%K -0.380%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 00:04
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.83%EV -7.19%E -3.76%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.83%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -6.90%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 00:50
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -7.19%E -3.76%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -5.78%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 00:00
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -7.19%E -3.76%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -12.51%E -3.21%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 00:45
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -7.19%E -3.76%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -12.51%E -3.21%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 00:44
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -7.19%E -3.76%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -12.51%E -3.21%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 00:44
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -7.19%E -3.76%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -12.51%E -3.21%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 00:45
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.19%E -3.76%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.27%E -2.57%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 01:14
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -7.67%E -4.04%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -4.39%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -3.54%E -0.822%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 00:04
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -7.67%E -4.04%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -4.39%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -3.54%E -0.822%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 00:44
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 49.42%EV -7.67%E -4.04%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.83%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.69%EV -2.86%E -0.661%K -0.860%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 00:04
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 47.99%EV -7.67%E -4.04%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.22%EV -9.60%E -3.08%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -10.27%E -2.57%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 00:04
betano_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 47.99%EV -7.67%E -4.04%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.22%EV -9.60%E -3.08%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -10.27%E -2.57%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 00:04
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -8.65%E -4.60%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -8.02%E -1.96%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 00:05
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -8.65%E -4.60%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -10.27%E -2.57%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 00:44
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -10.10%E -5.46%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -10.27%E -2.57%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-25 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -10.10%E -5.46%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -10.27%E -2.57%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-26 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -10.10%E -5.46%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -10.27%E -2.57%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-25 23:59
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -10.10%E -5.46%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -10.27%E -2.57%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-25 23:59
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -11.08%E -6.05%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.39%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -1.29%E -0.294%K -0.380%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 00:05
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -11.08%E -6.05%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -5.78%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 00:04
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -11.08%E -6.05%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -10.27%E -2.57%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 00:05
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.18%EV -11.56%E -6.35%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.04%EV -12.50%E -4.14%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.78%EV -13.63%E -3.54%K -4.78%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-26 00:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.86I 53.76%NM 47.45%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.93%13.3%2026-07-26 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 28.68%3.15I 31.75%NM 17.57%1.03I 97.09%NM 53.74%80.6%2026-07-26 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 28.68%3.15I 31.75%NM 17.57%1.03I 97.09%NM 53.74%80.6%2026-07-26 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 20.98%1.04I 96.15%NM 38.93%1.01I 99.01%NM 40.09%147.0%2026-07-26 00:50