La escuela de los momios

New York Red Bulls v FC Cincinnati

Inicio: 2026-04-04 23:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Red Bulls (Local)

Predicción 48.48%2.06momio equitativo
EV -3.04%
Ventaja -1.52%
Kelly -3.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.84%48.54%48.38%49.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.811.921.932.0055.25%52.04%51.81%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Cincinnati (Visitante)

Predicción 27.36%3.65momio equitativo
EV +1.79%
Ventaja +0.481%
Kelly +0.658%
Crecimiento +0.012%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.95%27.32%27.45%28.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.413.403.7232.26%29.36%29.41%26.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.16%4.14momio equitativo
EV -2.64%
Ventaja -0.654%
Kelly -0.870%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.03

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.24%24.14%24.18%26.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.823.854.0330.77%26.20%25.97%24.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.95%EV +1.79%E +0.481%K +0.658%G +0.012%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.56%EV -5.05%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 22:50
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.95%EV +1.79%E +0.481%K +0.658%G +0.012%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.56%EV -5.05%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 22:50
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.95%EV +1.79%E +0.481%K +0.658%G +0.012%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.56%EV -5.05%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 22:49
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 48.69%EV -3.53%E -1.77%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.33%EV +0.695%E +0.189%K +0.259%G +0.002%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.97%EV -6.26%E -1.61%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 23:24
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 48.56%EV -3.53%E -1.77%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.68%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.98%EV -2.64%E -0.654%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.98%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -4.23%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.60%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 23:00
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 47.98%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -4.23%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.60%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 23:00
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.98%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -4.23%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.60%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 23:00
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.98%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -4.23%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.60%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 23:00
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -4.23%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 23:19
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.17%EV -6.44%E -3.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.23%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 22:54
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.23%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 23:24
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.23%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 23:14
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.23%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 23:14
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.23%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 23:08
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.23%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 23:14
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -10.32%E -5.58%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.23%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 23:05
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 48.82%EV -6.44%E -3.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.08%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.10%EV -5.54%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 23:00
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.19%EV -4.01%E -2.03%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -5.60%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.57%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 23:14
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.19%EV -4.01%E -2.03%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -5.60%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.57%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 23:14
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 48.27%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.60%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.99%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.27%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.60%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.99%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 23:00
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.27%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.60%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.99%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 23:01
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.27%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.60%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.99%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 23:00
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 48.27%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.60%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.99%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 23:00
Bally Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.27%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.60%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.99%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 23:00
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.60%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.16%EV -6.74%E -1.75%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 23:24
MyBookie.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.31%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.54%EV -6.42%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 23:24
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.97%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 23:23
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -6.44%E -3.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.97%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 23:24
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.97%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 22:59
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -6.97%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -3.36%E -0.840%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 22:54
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.97%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 23:15
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -6.44%E -3.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.97%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 23:00
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -6.44%E -3.34%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.97%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 23:00
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.97%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 23:14
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.97%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 23:14
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.97%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 23:00
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.97%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 23:00
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.97%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 23:01
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.97%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 23:00
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -8.34%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 23:01
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -8.86%E -4.71%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -8.34%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -6.99%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 23:25
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.33%EV -8.86%E -4.71%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -8.34%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 23:01
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 23:24
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -6.99%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 23:14
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.10%EV -9.35%E -5.00%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -11.82%E -3.24%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-04 23:00
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.10%EV -9.35%E -5.00%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -11.82%E -3.24%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-04 23:00
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.24%EV -10.32%E -5.58%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.63%EV -11.62%E -3.60%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.12%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 23:25
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.06%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -12.44%E -3.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -5.78%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 23:20
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.32%E -5.58%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -12.44%E -3.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 23:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.32%E -5.58%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -12.44%E -3.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 23:25
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.32%E -5.58%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -12.44%E -3.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 23:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.32%E -5.58%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -12.44%E -3.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -9.40%E -2.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 23:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.84%EV -11.29%E -6.17%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.79%EV -12.44%E -3.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%EV -21.48%E -6.61%K -9.55%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-04 23:19
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.14%EV -12.26%E -6.77%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.66%EV -13.81%E -4.38%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.20%EV -13.03%E -3.62%K -5.01%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-04 23:20
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -11.29%E -6.17%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -15.18%E -4.90%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -8.19%E -2.16%K -2.93%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-04 23:04
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.83%EV -10.80%E -5.87%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.39%EV -15.18%E -4.90%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.78%EV -10.61%E -2.87%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-04 23:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%0.6%2026-04-04 23:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%0.6%2026-04-04 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.0%2026-04-04 23:25
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.51%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.0%2026-04-04 23:24
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.43%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.80%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.77%2.2%2026-04-04 23:24