The School of Odds

New York Red Bulls v Charlotte FC

2026-07-25 22:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

New York Red Bulls (Local)

Prediction 42.71%2.34fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -2.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.78%42.68%42.72%43.37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.982.162.152.2851%46%47%44%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Charlotte FC (Visit)

Prediction 32.43%3.08fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -0.680%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.62%32.50%32.49%33.57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.552.822.833.0239%35%35%33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 24.86%4.02fair odd
EV -0.560%
Edge -0.140%
Kelly -0.187%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.71%24.82%24.79%26.02%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.453.703.704.0029%27%27%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.99%EV -2.63%E -1.15%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.13%EV -3.35%E -1.12%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.88%EV -8.02%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-20 10:29
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 41.99%EV -2.63%E -1.15%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.13%EV -3.35%E -1.12%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.88%EV -8.02%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-20 10:30
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 42.77%EV -3.06%E -1.35%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.15%EV -2.05%E -0.680%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 25.09%EV -3.79%E -0.980%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-19 16:30
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.52%EV -3.91%E -1.74%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.57%E -2.65%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -0.560%E -0.140%K -0.187%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-19 13:05
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.26%EV -3.91%E -1.74%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.36%EV -7.57%E -2.65%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -3.05%E -0.781%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 13:05
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.85%EV -5.19%E -2.34%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.58%EV -5.30%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.58%EV -3.79%E -0.980%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 22:10
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.85%EV -5.19%E -2.34%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.58%EV -5.30%E -1.81%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.58%EV -3.79%E -0.980%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 22:10
GTbets2.21I 45.25%NM 43.07%EV -5.62%E -2.54%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.27%EV -4.32%E -1.47%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.66%EV -4.04%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 13:05
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.04%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.57%E -2.65%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -3.05%E -0.781%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 13:05
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -6.04%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.94%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.53%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 13:08
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -6.04%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.94%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.53%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 13:10
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.04%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -9.19%E -3.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -3.05%E -0.781%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 13:10
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.04%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.94%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.02%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 15:15
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.04%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -9.19%E -3.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.53%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-19 13:06
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.04%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -10.81%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 13:05
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.04%E -2.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -10.81%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 13:05
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.90%E -3.16%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -5.94%E -2.05%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -7.52%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 14:15
MyBookie.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 42.80%EV -7.75%E -3.59%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.21%EV -6.92%E -2.41%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -8.02%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-19 13:10
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.11%EV -8.18%E -3.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -6.59%E -2.29%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-19 13:05
betano_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.18%E -3.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.19%E -3.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -8.02%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 16:30
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.18%E -3.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.19%E -3.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -8.02%E -2.17%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 16:30
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.18%E -3.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -6.59%E -2.29%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-19 16:30
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.18%E -3.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -6.59%E -2.29%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-19 16:30
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.18%E -3.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -6.59%E -2.29%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-19 16:30
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.18%E -3.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -6.59%E -2.29%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.99%E -3.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-19 16:30
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.18%E -3.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.19%E -3.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-19 16:30
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -8.18%E -3.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -12.43%E -4.60%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-19 13:09
ReBet2.13I 46.95%NM 42.71%EV -9.03%E -4.24%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 32.37%EV -8.86%E -3.15%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -9.26%E -2.54%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-19 13:35
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 42.77%EV -9.46%E -4.46%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.38%EV -9.19%E -3.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -9.26%E -2.54%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-19 16:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.32%E -4.91%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -10.81%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-19 13:05
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.32%E -4.91%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -10.81%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-19 13:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.32%E -4.91%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -10.81%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-19 13:05
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.32%E -4.91%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -10.81%E -3.93%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-19 13:05
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.37%EV -12.45%E -6.07%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.93%EV -12.43%E -4.60%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.71%EV -6.78%E -1.81%K -2.46%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-19 13:25
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 43.13%EV -13.30%E -6.55%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.07%EV -11.46%E -4.20%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.80%EV -12.24%E -3.47%K -4.84%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-19 13:04
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.28%EV -14.59%E -7.29%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.67%EV -14.05%E -5.30%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.05%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%15.5%2026-07-19 13:05
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -14.59%E -7.29%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.92%EV -12.43%E -4.60%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.98%EV -14.23%E -4.13%K -5.81%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-19 22:35
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 42.55%EV -15.44%E -7.80%K -15.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.04%EV -17.30%E -6.78%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.42%EV -14.23%E -4.13%K -5.81%G +0.000%18.7%2026-07-19 13:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 42.08%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.67%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%7.0%2026-07-20 13:30
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 42.49%2.74I 36.50%NM 32.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.25%13.1%2026-07-19 13:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 32.18%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.42%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.41%187.8%2026-07-20 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 32.18%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.42%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.41%187.8%2026-07-20 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 32.18%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.42%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.41%187.8%2026-07-20 12:25