Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Red Bulls v Atlanta United FC

2026-11-07 21:00 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Red Bulls (Local)

Prediction 48.37%2.07fair odd
EV -4.71%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -4.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.91%48.37%48.37%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.921.931.9754.95%52.12%51.81%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta United FC (Visit)

Prediction 28.29%3.53fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -0.696%
Kelly -0.980%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.99%28.29%28.29%28.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.293.303.4532.26%30.39%30.30%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.34%4.28fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -0.470%
Kelly -0.617%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.99%23.34%23.34%23.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.994.004.2026.67%25.08%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: New York Red Bulls (Local): 48.37%; Atlanta United FC (Visit): 28.29%; Draw: 23.34%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.28. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.20, with an expected value of -1.98%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.02%EV -4.71%E -2.39%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.99%EV -2.40%E -0.696%K -0.980%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -1.98%E -0.470%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-31 21:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.02%EV -4.71%E -2.39%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.99%EV -2.40%E -0.696%K -0.980%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -1.98%E -0.470%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-31 21:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.02%EV -4.71%E -2.39%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.99%EV -2.40%E -0.696%K -0.980%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV -1.98%E -0.470%K -0.617%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-31 21:35
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -6.64%E -3.44%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.64%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 21:35
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -6.64%E -3.44%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.64%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 21:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -6.64%E -3.44%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.64%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 21:35
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -6.64%E -3.44%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.64%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 21:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -6.64%E -3.44%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.64%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 21:40
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -6.64%E -3.44%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.64%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 21:40
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -6.64%E -3.44%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.64%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 21:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.61%E -3.98%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.64%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -6.64%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-31 21:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -7.61%E -3.98%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -8.06%E -2.48%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -7.81%E -1.98%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-31 21:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.91%EV -8.09%E -4.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -9.47%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -10.14%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-31 21:35
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.04%EV -8.58%E -4.54%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -9.47%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -10.14%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-31 21:35
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.21%EV -10.51%E -5.68%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -10.89%E -3.46%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.47%EV -11.31%E -2.98%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-31 21:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.25%EV -11.96%E -6.57%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -12.30%E -3.97%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -12.48%E -3.33%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-31 21:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 49.96%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.47%10.0%2026-11-01 00:55