The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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New York City FC v Philadelphia Union

Kickoff: 2026-08-16 22:10 UTC

Final: New York City FC 2–3 Philadelphia Union

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York City FC (Local)

Prediction 34.39%2.91fair odd
EV -0.969%
Edge -0.336%
Kelly -0.515%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.05%34.44%34.43%36.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.712.702.8840.00%36.84%37.04%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia Union (Visit)

Prediction 39.47%2.53fair odd
EV +1.03%
Edge +0.404%
Kelly +0.663%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 2.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.35%39.45%39.45%40.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.352.352.5645.45%42.62%42.55%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.15%3.82fair odd
EV -0.378%
Edge -0.099%
Kelly -0.134%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.17%26.11%26.12%27.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.533.503.8131.25%28.29%28.57%26.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York City FC (Local): 34.39%; Philadelphia Union (Visit): 39.47%; Draw: 26.15%. For Philadelphia Union (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.56, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.03%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.37%EV -3.03%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV +1.03%E +0.404%K +0.663%G +0.007%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.77%EV -8.74%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-16 21:59
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.44%E -1.98%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -1.33%E -0.533%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 22:04
Pinnacle🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 35.08%EV -5.10%E -1.85%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -3.31%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.41%EV -0.378%E -0.099%K -0.134%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 21:59
BetUS🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 35.05%EV -5.10%E -1.85%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.49%EV -3.31%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -0.639%E -0.168%K -0.228%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 21:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.74%EV -8.88%E -3.35%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.66%EV -3.31%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -3.25%E -0.879%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 22:00
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -9.91%E -3.78%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -3.31%E -1.35%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -13.71%E -4.16%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 22:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 34.00%EV -2.34%E -0.825%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.90%EV -4.49%E -1.86%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -3.25%E -0.879%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-16 21:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 34.00%EV -2.34%E -0.825%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.90%EV -4.49%E -1.86%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -3.25%E -0.879%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-16 21:45
BetAnything🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 34.00%EV -2.34%E -0.825%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.90%EV -4.49%E -1.86%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.10%EV -3.25%E -0.879%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-16 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.46%EV -0.969%E -0.336%K -0.515%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.40%EV -4.56%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 22:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.46%EV -0.969%E -0.336%K -0.515%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.40%EV -4.56%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 22:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.46%EV -0.969%E -0.336%K -0.515%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.40%EV -4.56%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 22:05
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.15%EV -7.16%E -2.65%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -1.95%E -0.519%K -0.708%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 21:49
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.44%E -1.98%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 21:59
ReBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -3.72%E -1.33%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.48%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 22:04
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -3.72%E -1.33%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.48%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 22:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -2.00%E -0.702%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 21:55
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.16%E -2.65%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.28%E -2.20%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -8.48%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 22:05
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -3.72%E -1.33%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 21:39
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -3.72%E -1.33%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 21:44
Caesars🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 33.92%EV -5.10%E -1.85%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -8.48%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 22:04
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -7.16%E -2.65%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 21:55
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -7.16%E -2.65%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 21:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 34.70%EV -7.50%E -2.79%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.08%EV -6.39%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 21:58
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -10.60%E -4.08%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -6.07%E -2.55%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -8.48%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 21:59
GTbets🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -2.34%E -0.825%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.67%EV -6.86%E -2.91%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.53%EV -1.69%E -0.448%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 21:30
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.97%EV -7.16%E -2.65%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.18%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -0.639%E -0.168%K -0.228%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 21:45
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.97%EV -7.16%E -2.65%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.18%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -0.639%E -0.168%K -0.228%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 21:50
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -3.72%E -1.33%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 22:03
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -5.44%E -1.98%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 21:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -3.72%E -1.33%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.48%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 22:04
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -6.47%E -2.38%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 22:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.74%EV -14.04%E -5.61%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -0.639%E -0.168%K -0.228%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 22:00
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.16%E -2.65%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 22:04
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -10.60%E -4.08%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.97%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -7.18%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 21:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -8.88%E -3.35%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -7.25%E -3.09%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -9.79%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 22:03
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -3.72%E -1.33%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.03%EV -8.04%E -3.45%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.48%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 22:05
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -3.72%E -1.33%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.03%EV -8.04%E -3.45%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.48%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 22:04
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -3.72%E -1.33%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.03%EV -8.04%E -3.45%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.48%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 22:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -3.72%E -1.33%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.03%EV -8.04%E -3.45%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.48%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 22:04
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -3.72%E -1.33%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.03%EV -8.04%E -3.45%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.48%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 22:04
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.44%E -1.98%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 21:24
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -9.57%E -3.64%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -0.639%E -0.168%K -0.228%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 21:49
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.16%E -2.65%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 21:55
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.16%E -2.65%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 21:55
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.24%EV -9.91%E -3.78%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.14%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -1.95%E -0.519%K -0.708%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 21:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.03%EV -9.57%E -3.64%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.06%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -3.25%E -0.879%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 21:49
Fliff🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.16%E -2.65%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 22:04
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -9.91%E -3.78%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.48%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 21:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -9.91%E -3.78%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.48%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 21:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -9.91%E -3.78%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.48%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 21:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.84%EV -8.88%E -3.35%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.99%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.71%E -4.16%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 22:04
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -14.04%E -5.61%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.48%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-16 21:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -10.60%E -4.08%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -9.23%E -4.01%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -15.02%E -4.62%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 22:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -7.16%E -2.65%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.76%EV -10.02%E -4.39%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 22:04
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -7.16%E -2.65%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.76%EV -10.02%E -4.39%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 22:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -8.88%E -3.35%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -11.20%E -4.98%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -8.48%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 21:49
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -7.16%E -2.65%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.92%EV -11.20%E -4.98%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -12.41%E -3.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-16 22:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -9.57%E -3.64%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -11.20%E -4.98%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 21:24
Neds🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -9.57%E -3.64%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -11.20%E -4.98%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -9.91%E -3.78%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.20%E -4.98%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-16 21:29
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -9.91%E -3.78%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.20%E -4.98%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.10%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-16 21:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.43%EV -8.88%E -3.35%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.73%EV -11.99%E -5.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -13.71%E -4.16%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-16 22:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.43%EV -8.88%E -3.35%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.73%EV -11.99%E -5.38%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -13.71%E -4.16%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-16 22:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.40%EV -10.60%E -4.08%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -13.17%E -5.99%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -16.33%E -5.10%K -7.42%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-16 22:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.35%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.0%2026-08-16 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.35%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.0%2026-08-16 22:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.51%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.3%2026-08-16 22:04
Matchbook◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.24%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-08-16 22:05
Smarkets◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.45%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.77%2.2%2026-08-16 22:05
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 35.95%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%3.0%2026-08-16 22:05