Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York City FC v New England Revolution

Kickoff: 2026-09-10 00:00 UTC

Final: New York City FC 1–2 New England Revolution

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York City FC (Local)

Prediction 38.21%2.62fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -0.696%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.08%38.27%38.08%40.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.412.402.5744.84%41.56%41.67%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New England Revolution (Visit)

Prediction 35.25%2.84fair odd
EV +0.459%
Edge +0.161%
Kelly +0.248%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.44%35.18%35.31%35.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.672.652.8540.00%37.40%37.74%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.54%3.77fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -0.491%
Kelly -0.672%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.33%26.55%26.61%27.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.493.503.7030.30%28.69%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York City FC (Local): 38.21%; New England Revolution (Visit): 35.25%; Draw: 26.54%. For New England Revolution (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.84. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.459%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.06%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV +0.459%E +0.161%K +0.248%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 10:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.06%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV +0.459%E +0.161%K +0.248%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 10:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.06%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV +0.459%E +0.161%K +0.248%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 10:14
GTbets🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.03%EV -9.43%E -3.98%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.25%EV -2.36%E -0.852%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.71%EV -2.08%E -0.564%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-09 11:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.61%EV -4.46%E -1.79%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.10%EV -3.07%E -1.11%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.30%EV -2.61%E -0.711%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-09 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.61%EV -4.46%E -1.79%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.10%EV -3.07%E -1.11%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.30%EV -2.61%E -0.711%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-09 16:46
BetAnything🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.61%EV -4.46%E -1.79%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.10%EV -3.07%E -1.11%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.30%EV -2.61%E -0.711%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-09 16:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.07%E -1.11%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 11:14
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.07%E -1.11%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 11:15
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.20%E -4.34%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.07%E -1.11%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 10:15
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.20%E -4.34%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.07%E -1.11%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 10:19
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.20%E -4.34%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.07%E -1.11%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 10:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.20%E -4.34%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.07%E -1.11%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 10:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.20%E -4.34%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.07%E -1.11%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 10:15
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.20%E -4.34%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.07%E -1.11%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 10:19
Bally Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.20%E -4.34%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.07%E -1.11%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 10:18
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.20%E -4.34%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.07%E -1.11%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 10:15
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -12.11%E -5.26%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -3.07%E -1.11%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 17:10
1xBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.79%E -0.696%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.56%EV -3.77%E -1.38%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.67%EV -3.41%E -0.936%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-09 17:40
Pinnacle🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.55%E -1.00%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.59%EV -4.12%E -1.52%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.45%EV -2.88%E -0.786%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-09 16:20
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -4.46%E -1.79%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -4.83%E -1.79%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 16:50
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -4.83%E -1.79%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 11:05
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -4.83%E -1.79%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 11:05
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -4.83%E -1.79%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 11:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -4.83%E -1.79%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 11:05
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -4.83%E -1.79%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 10:20
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -12.11%E -5.26%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -4.83%E -1.79%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 17:10
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -12.11%E -5.26%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -4.83%E -1.79%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 10:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.60%EV -12.87%E -5.65%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.44%EV -4.83%E -1.79%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -11.10%E -3.31%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 10:15
ReBet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.64%EV -3.32%E -1.31%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.53%EV -5.53%E -2.06%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-09 17:21
Caesars🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.03%EV -9.05%E -3.80%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.80%EV -5.89%E -2.20%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 17:23
MyBookie.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.53%EV -4.08%E -1.63%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -6.59%E -2.49%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 17:29
Bovada🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.96%EV -5.23%E -2.11%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.59%E -2.49%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.80%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 12:42
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -4.46%E -1.79%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -6.59%E -2.49%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 17:29
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -3.70%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -6.59%E -2.49%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 17:00
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.29%EV -3.70%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -6.59%E -2.49%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 16:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -6.59%E -2.49%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 17:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -10.20%E -4.34%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -6.59%E -2.49%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 12:40
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -14.02%E -6.23%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -6.59%E -2.49%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -11.10%E -3.31%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-09 10:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.90%EV -5.99%E -2.44%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.31%EV -6.94%E -2.63%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.79%EV -7.65%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 17:40
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.04%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.63%EV -7.30%E -2.77%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -1.82%E -0.491%K -0.672%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 11:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.62%EV -14.78%E -6.63%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.60%EV -7.30%E -2.77%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-09 10:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.62%EV -14.78%E -6.63%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.60%EV -7.30%E -2.77%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-09 10:19
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -4.46%E -1.79%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -7.65%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 17:40
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -4.46%E -1.79%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -7.65%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 17:41
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.65%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 11:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.06%EV -7.14%E -2.94%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.30%EV -7.65%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.65%EV -7.92%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.65%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 13:30
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.65%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 13:30
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.65%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 13:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.65%E -2.92%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 13:30
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -4.46%E -1.79%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.35%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 17:20
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -8.35%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 13:40
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -4.46%E -1.79%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -8.35%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 17:30
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -4.46%E -1.79%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -8.35%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 17:01
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -6.37%E -2.60%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -8.35%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-09 17:30
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.11%E -5.26%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -8.35%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-09 10:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.11%E -5.26%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -8.35%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-09 10:19
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.11%E -5.26%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -8.35%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-09 10:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -12.11%E -5.26%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -8.35%E -3.21%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.43%E -3.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-09 10:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -10.12%E -3.97%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 17:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.78%EV -12.11%E -5.26%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.98%EV -10.12%E -3.97%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 17:21
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -10.20%E -4.34%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -11.88%E -4.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.78%E -2.88%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-09 17:20
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -12.11%E -5.26%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -11.88%E -4.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-09 10:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.62I 38.17%NM 37.82%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-09-09 17:26
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.64%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-09-09 12:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.73%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.2%2026-09-09 17:31
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.73%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.2%2026-09-09 17:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.73%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.2%2026-09-09 17:25
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 38.00%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.29%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%1.2%2026-09-09 17:25