Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New England Revolution v Seattle Sounders FC

2026-10-10 23:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New England Revolution (Local)

Prediction 53.66%1.86fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -3.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.05%53.58%53.75%55.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.701.711.8164.52%58.82%58.31%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Seattle Sounders FC (Visit)

Prediction 23.73%4.21fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -0.543%
Kelly -0.717%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.46%23.75%23.76%24.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.853.804.1227.78%25.97%26.32%24.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.61%4.42fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -0.650%
Kelly -0.847%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.52%22.67%22.50%23.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.003.954.3026.67%25.03%25.32%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: New England Revolution (Local): 53.66%; Seattle Sounders FC (Visit): 23.73%; Draw: 22.61%. For Seattle Sounders FC (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.21. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.12, with an expected value of -2.24%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.53%EV -2.87%E -1.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.52%EV -2.24%E -0.543%K -0.717%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.96%EV -4.60%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-21 07:33
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -4.48%E -2.52%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.46%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -5.05%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-21 07:19
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.22%EV -6.09%E -3.48%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -5.08%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-21 07:19
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -6.09%E -3.48%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.08%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -5.05%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-21 07:19
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.09%E -3.48%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.83%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.10%E -3.71%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-21 08:34
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.09%E -3.48%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.83%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.10%E -3.71%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-21 08:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.09%E -3.48%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.83%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.10%E -3.71%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-21 08:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.09%E -3.48%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.83%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.10%E -3.71%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-21 08:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.47%EV -6.62%E -3.81%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -6.27%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.97%EV -8.45%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-21 07:24
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -7.16%E -4.14%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -9.83%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.05%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-21 07:23
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.77%E -5.16%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -2.71%E -0.661%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -7.31%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-21 07:18
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.75%EV -9.31%E -5.51%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -7.46%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -2.79%E -0.650%K -0.847%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-21 07:19
ReBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.04%EV -9.84%E -5.86%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -6.27%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -10.71%E -2.71%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-21 07:19
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -10.38%E -6.22%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -8.64%E -2.24%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.77%EV -10.71%E -2.71%K -3.63%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-21 07:19
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -10.38%E -6.22%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -11.02%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -9.58%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-21 07:18
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.85%EV -10.38%E -6.22%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -14.57%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.63%EV -11.84%E -3.03%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-21 07:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.11%EV -13.06%E -8.06%K -21.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%EV -12.20%E -3.30%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.19%EV -10.71%E -2.71%K -3.63%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-21 07:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 53.94%EV -14.14%E -8.84%K -23.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.64%EV -13.39%E -3.67%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.42%EV -12.97%E -3.37%K -4.55%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-21 07:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 54.11%EV -14.67%E -9.23%K -24.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.94%EV -11.02%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.94%EV -15.23%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-21 07:23
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 55.07%EV -16.82%E -10.85%K -30.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.46%EV -9.83%E -2.59%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.46%EV -14.10%E -3.71%K -5.03%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-21 07:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.