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New England Revolution v Philadelphia Union
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New England Revolution (Local)
Prediction 37.26%2.68fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.473%
Kelly -0.760%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.29%37.27%37.26%38.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.532.502.6542.55%39.57%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philadelphia Union (Visit)
Prediction 34.77%2.88fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -0.945%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.57%34.77%34.78%36.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.642.652.8041.67%37.92%37.74%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.97%3.58fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -0.603%
Kelly -0.844%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.27%27.96%27.96%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.313.323.5034.72%30.20%30.12%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New England Revolution (Local): 37.26%; Philadelphia Union (Visit): 34.77%; Draw: 27.97%. For New England Revolution (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -1.25%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.22%EV -1.25%E -0.473%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.55%EV -6.12%E -2.27%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.23%EV -4.91%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.22%EV -1.25%E -0.473%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.55%EV -6.12%E -2.27%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.23%EV -4.91%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.22%EV -1.25%E -0.473%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.55%EV -6.12%E -2.27%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.23%EV -4.91%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.22%EV -1.25%E -0.473%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.55%EV -6.12%E -2.27%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.23%EV -4.91%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.77%EV -2.00%E -0.760%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.79%EV -3.34%E -1.20%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44%EV -4.91%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 23:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.77%EV -2.00%E -0.760%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.79%EV -3.34%E -1.20%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44%EV -4.91%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.05%EV -2.37%E -0.905%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.05%EV -3.69%E -1.33%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.90%EV -2.67%E -0.767%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-09 23:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.99%EV -2.37%E -0.905%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.24%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.77%EV -2.39%E -0.685%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-09 23:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.91%EV -2.37%E -0.905%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.91%EV -8.90%E -3.40%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.17%EV -6.59%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 23:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -3.12%E -1.20%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -7.86%E -2.97%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -2.11%E -0.603%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 23:28 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.12%E -1.20%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -3.12%E -1.20%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -7.86%E -2.97%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.91%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 23:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.12%E -1.20%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -7.86%E -2.97%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.31%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 23:33 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.12%E -1.20%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -7.86%E -2.97%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.31%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.12%E -1.20%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -7.86%E -2.97%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.31%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.12%E -1.20%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -7.86%E -2.97%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.31%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.12%E -1.20%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -7.86%E -2.97%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.31%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 23:33 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.12%E -1.20%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -7.86%E -2.97%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.31%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -3.12%E -1.20%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -8.56%E -3.25%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -3.12%E -1.20%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -11.34%E -4.45%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -6.12%E -2.27%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.91%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 23:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -7.86%E -2.97%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -6.31%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 23:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -10.50%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -9.60%E -3.69%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.91%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 23:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -9.60%E -3.69%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -9.10%E -2.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -4.98%E -1.95%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -11.34%E -4.45%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 23:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.28%EV -6.10%E -2.42%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.67%EV -5.78%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.31%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 23:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.28%EV -6.10%E -2.42%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.67%EV -5.78%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -6.31%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -6.10%E -2.42%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -6.82%E -2.54%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -6.31%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 23:33 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.14%EV -6.10%E -2.42%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -6.82%E -2.54%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -6.31%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 23:33 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.14%EV -6.47%E -2.58%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.78%EV -6.82%E -2.54%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -7.15%E -2.15%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 23:28 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.91%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.12%E -2.27%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.91%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 23:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -7.86%E -2.97%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.91%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -7.86%E -2.97%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.91%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 23:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.12%E -2.27%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.12%E -2.27%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -8.56%E -3.25%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -4.91%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 23:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -9.60%E -3.69%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.91%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 23:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -7.86%E -2.97%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 23:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.12%E -2.27%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -10.50%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 23:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -9.60%E -3.69%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 23:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -8.90%E -3.40%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.10%E -2.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 23:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -8.90%E -3.40%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.10%E -2.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 23:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -8.90%E -3.40%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.10%E -2.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -8.90%E -3.40%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.10%E -2.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 23:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -11.34%E -4.45%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.10%E -2.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 23:33 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -11.34%E -4.45%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.10%E -2.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 23:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -14.82%E -6.05%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.50%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 23:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -14.82%E -6.05%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.50%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -14.82%E -6.05%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.50%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -6.84%E -2.74%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -14.82%E -6.05%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.50%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -7.59%E -3.06%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -11.34%E -4.45%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -10.50%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-09 23:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -7.59%E -3.06%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -11.34%E -4.45%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -10.50%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-09 23:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -8.71%E -3.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -2.65%E -0.945%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -4.91%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.57%E -4.40%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.38%E -1.59%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 23:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -10.57%E -4.40%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.60%E -3.69%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.57%E -4.40%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -9.60%E -3.69%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.50%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.32%EV -10.57%E -4.40%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.12%EV -11.34%E -4.45%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -9.10%E -2.80%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-09 23:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -10.57%E -4.40%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -16.55%E -6.90%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -19.45%E -6.75%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-05-09 23:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -11.32%E -4.75%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -9.60%E -3.69%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.49%EV -12.43%E -5.29%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -11.34%E -4.45%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -11.90%E -3.78%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-09 23:33 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.32%EV -12.43%E -5.29%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.39%EV -11.34%E -4.45%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -13.30%E -4.29%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-09 23:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.07% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.28% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.65% | 2.2% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.98% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.43% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.58% | 2.4% | 2026-05-09 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.24% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.19% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.57% | 2.5% | 2026-05-09 23:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.24% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.19% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.57% | 2.5% | 2026-05-09 23:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.89% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13% | 3.1% | 2026-05-09 23:34 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.19% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 23:35 |