The School of Odds
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New England Revolution v New York Red Bulls

2026-10-28 23:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New England Revolution (Local)

Prediction 51.93%1.93fair odd
EV -3.92%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -4.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.37%51.93%51.93%52.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.801.801.8558.48%55.71%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Red Bulls (Visit)

Prediction 25.27%3.96fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -0.709%
Kelly -0.957%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.87%25.27%25.27%25.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.683.703.8528.99%27.19%27.03%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.80%4.39fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -0.455%
Kelly -0.593%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.52%22.80%22.80%23.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.084.104.3026.32%24.54%24.39%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: New England Revolution (Local): 51.93%; New York Red Bulls (Visit): 25.27%; Draw: 22.80%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.39. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.30, with an expected value of -1.96%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.34%EV -3.92%E -2.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.15%EV -2.73%E -0.709%K -0.957%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV -1.96%E -0.455%K -0.593%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-22 00:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.34%EV -3.92%E -2.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.15%EV -2.73%E -0.709%K -0.957%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV -1.96%E -0.455%K -0.593%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-22 00:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.34%EV -3.92%E -2.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.15%EV -2.73%E -0.709%K -0.957%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV -1.96%E -0.455%K -0.593%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-22 00:35
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-22 00:35
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-22 00:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-22 00:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-22 00:35
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-22 00:35
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-22 00:35
Bally Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -6.52%E -1.59%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-22 00:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.52%E -3.62%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -5.26%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.80%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-22 00:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -7.56%E -4.25%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.04%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.80%E -2.20%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-22 00:35
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -8.08%E -4.56%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -10.31%E -2.90%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -9.94%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-22 00:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -8.08%E -4.56%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -10.31%E -2.90%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -9.94%E -2.52%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-22 00:35
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.46%EV -9.63%E -5.54%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -11.08%E -2.84%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-22 00:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.40%EV -11.19%E -6.55%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -12.83%E -3.72%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.13%EV -13.36%E -3.52%K -4.77%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-22 00:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 48.40%2.50I 40.00%NM 31.75%4.00I 25.00%NM 19.85%26.0%2026-10-22 00:50