The School of Odds

New England Revolution v Atlanta United FC

2026-07-25 23:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

New England Revolution (Local)

Prediction 47.80%2.09fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.72%47.82%47.81%49.04%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.761.921.952.0457%52%51%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Atlanta United FC (Visit)

Prediction 25.98%3.85fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.270%
Kelly -0.367%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.99%25.96%26.00%27.11%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.203.543.503.8131%28%29%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 26.22%3.81fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -0.808%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.61%26.22%26.20%26.92%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.203.503.503.7031%29%29%27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%EV -3.89%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%EV -2.99%E -0.808%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-20 13:10
SportsBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.46%EV -3.43%E -1.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.63%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.91%EV -2.99%E -0.808%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 16:35
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.61%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 16:35
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.61%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 16:35
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.61%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 16:35
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -5.35%E -2.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -3.89%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.92%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-19 14:19
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -5.35%E -2.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -3.89%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.92%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-19 14:20
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.57%EV -6.30%E -3.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.99%EV -1.03%E -0.270%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -5.61%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 19:40
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.57%EV -6.30%E -3.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.99%EV -1.03%E -0.270%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -5.61%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 19:40
Marathon Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -6.30%E -3.22%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.20%EV -7.52%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.20%EV -6.66%E -1.87%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-20 13:10
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.61%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 16:40
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.61%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 16:40
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.19%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.23%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-19 15:15
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.61%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 16:34
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -5.61%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 03:50
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.38%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.23%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-19 16:35
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.23%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 16:35
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-20 13:30
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-20 13:30
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-20 13:30
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-20 13:30
GTbets1.94I 51.55%NM 49.04%EV -7.26%E -3.74%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.10%EV -1.55%E -0.409%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.85%EV -3.51%E -0.955%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 13:09
MyBookie.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 48.20%EV -8.21%E -4.28%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -5.19%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.23%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-19 14:24
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -8.69%E -4.55%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.89%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.61%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 13:09
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.69%E -4.55%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.28%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-19 16:35
ReBet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.13%EV -9.65%E -5.11%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.60%EV -10.33%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-19 14:19
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.39%EV -10.13%E -5.39%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.23%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-19 14:20
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -10.61%E -5.67%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -8.23%E -2.35%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-19 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -11.56%E -6.25%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-19 13:09
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -11.56%E -6.25%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-19 13:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -11.56%E -6.25%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-19 13:10
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -11.56%E -6.25%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.08%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.86%E -3.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-19 13:10
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 47.93%EV -13.00%E -7.14%K -15.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.04%EV -12.98%E -3.87%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.04%EV -12.17%E -3.63%K -5.18%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-19 14:20
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.42%EV -13.47%E -7.44%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.18%EV -9.60%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.40%EV -12.95%E -3.90%K -5.58%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-19 14:25
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 48.14%EV -14.43%E -8.06%K -18.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.34%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.51%EV -14.79%E -4.55%K -6.57%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-19 23:35
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 47.62%EV -15.86%E -9.01%K -20.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.19%EV -16.88%E -5.27%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.19%EV -16.10%E -5.03%K -7.32%G +0.000%19.3%2026-07-19 14:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 48.62%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.15%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%7.1%2026-07-20 13:45
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 47.69%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%13.3%2026-07-19 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-19 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-19 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-19 23:10