Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nashville SC v New England Revolution

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 01:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nashville SC (Local)

Prediction 61.65%1.62fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -3.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.79%61.54%61.79%63.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.521.521.5974.63%65.95%65.79%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New England Revolution (Visit)

Prediction 17.04%5.87fair odd
EV +0.529%
Edge +0.090%
Kelly +0.108%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 5.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.88%17.07%16.85%20.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.105.435.505.9024.39%18.42%18.18%16.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.31%4.69fair odd
EV +1.22%
Edge +0.258%
Kelly +0.327%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.37%21.39%21.36%23.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.264.254.7527.40%23.47%23.53%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nashville SC (Local): 61.65%; New England Revolution (Visit): 17.04%; Draw: 21.31%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.69. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.22%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.90%EV -11.22%E -7.79%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -6.29%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV +1.22%E +0.258%K +0.327%G +0.004%8.7%2026-02-22 00:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.68%EV -5.06%E -3.28%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -2.03%E -0.352%K -0.427%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.54%EV +0.159%E +0.034%K +0.043%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 01:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.68%EV -5.06%E -3.28%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -2.03%E -0.352%K -0.427%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.54%EV +0.159%E +0.034%K +0.043%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 01:00
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -5.06%E -3.28%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.85%EV -3.22%E -0.567%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.99%EV -2.82%E -0.619%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 01:20
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.86%EV -1.98%E -1.24%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.69%EV -6.80%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.45%EV -3.89%E -0.862%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-22 01:20
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -6.29%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -4.10%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 00:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.95%EV -6.29%E -4.14%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -6.29%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -4.10%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 00:50
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.30%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV +0.529%E +0.090%K +0.108%G +0.001%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -4.10%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 00:45
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.52%E -5.02%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.29%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.10%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 00:45
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.52%E -5.02%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.29%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.10%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 00:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.52%E -5.02%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -6.29%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.10%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 00:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.54%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -14.81%E -2.96%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -4.10%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 00:45
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -11.22%E -7.79%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -6.29%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -4.10%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 00:45
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.17%EV -3.83%E -2.45%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.49I 18.21%NM 17.38%EV -6.46%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.44%EV -5.17%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 01:25
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.53%EV -6.29%E -4.14%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.11%EV +0.529%E +0.090%K +0.108%G +0.001%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.36%EV -5.17%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-22 01:05
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.53%EV -6.29%E -4.14%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.11%EV +0.529%E +0.090%K +0.108%G +0.001%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.36%EV -5.17%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-22 01:05
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.81%EV -6.29%E -4.14%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -6.29%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.11%EV -5.17%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 01:19
BetUS🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.81%EV -6.29%E -4.14%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -6.29%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.11%EV -5.17%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 01:19
BetAnything🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.81%EV -6.29%E -4.14%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -6.29%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.11%EV -5.17%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 01:20
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.66%EV -4.44%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.62%EV -2.03%E -0.352%K -0.427%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%EV -6.23%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 01:18
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -7.52%E -5.02%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -6.29%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -6.23%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 01:19
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.32%EV -6.91%E -4.57%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -10.55%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -6.23%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 01:15
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -7.52%E -5.02%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -6.29%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -7.30%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 01:15
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.49%EV -4.44%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -10.55%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.65%EV -7.73%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 01:24
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.52%E -5.02%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -2.03%E -0.352%K -0.427%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -7.73%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 00:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.79%EV -6.91%E -4.57%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -4.58%E -0.818%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -7.73%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 01:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.97%EV -3.21%E -2.04%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.50%EV -1.17%E -0.203%K -0.245%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%EV -9.43%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 00:45
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.97%EV -3.21%E -2.04%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.50%EV -1.17%E -0.203%K -0.245%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%EV -9.43%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 00:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.97%EV -3.21%E -2.04%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.50%EV -1.17%E -0.203%K -0.245%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%EV -9.43%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 00:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.97%EV -3.21%E -2.04%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.50%EV -1.17%E -0.203%K -0.245%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%EV -9.43%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 00:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -6.29%E -4.14%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -6.29%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -9.43%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-22 01:20
Fliff🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.23%EV -8.14%E -5.46%K -16.61%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.05%EV -8.84%E -1.65%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -10.50%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 01:25
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.52%E -5.02%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.81%E -2.96%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.50%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-22 01:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.70%EV -10.61%E -7.31%K -23.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.34%EV -18.21%E -3.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -10.50%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-22 00:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -4.44%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -4.58%E -0.818%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -12.63%E -3.08%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 00:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -4.44%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -4.58%E -0.818%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -12.63%E -3.08%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 00:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -4.44%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -4.58%E -0.818%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -12.63%E -3.08%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 00:45
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -4.44%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -4.58%E -0.818%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -12.63%E -3.08%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 00:45
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -4.44%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -4.58%E -0.818%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -12.63%E -3.08%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 00:45
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -4.44%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -4.58%E -0.818%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -12.63%E -3.08%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 00:45
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -4.44%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -4.58%E -0.818%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -12.63%E -3.08%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 00:45
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -4.44%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -4.58%E -0.818%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -12.63%E -3.08%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 00:45
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.58%EV -5.06%E -3.28%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -4.58%E -0.818%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -12.63%E -3.08%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 00:45
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -6.91%E -4.57%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -6.29%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -12.63%E -3.08%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 00:45
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.23%EV -6.29%E -4.14%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -10.55%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -12.63%E -3.08%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 01:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 60.90%EV -11.84%E -8.28%K -27.53%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.59%EV -15.66%E -3.16%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.50%EV -13.69%E -3.38%K -4.49%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-22 01:20
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -4.44%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -14.81%E -2.96%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -14.76%E -3.69%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-22 01:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -7.52%E -5.02%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -7.99%E -1.48%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -14.76%E -3.69%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 00:50
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -14.81%E -2.96%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.76%E -3.69%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 01:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -14.81%E -2.96%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.76%E -3.69%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 01:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -14.81%E -2.96%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.76%E -3.69%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 01:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -7.52%E -5.02%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -10.55%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.76%E -3.69%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-22 00:45
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -7.52%E -5.02%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -10.55%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.76%E -3.69%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-22 00:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -7.52%E -5.02%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -10.55%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.76%E -3.69%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-22 00:45
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -7.52%E -5.02%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -10.55%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -14.76%E -3.69%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-22 00:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 60.69%EV -12.46%E -8.77%K -29.66%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.77%EV -17.36%E -3.58%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.54%EV -14.76%E -3.69%K -4.92%G +0.000%16.0%2026-02-22 01:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 62.59%EV -17.39%E -12.98%K -51.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.44%EV -13.10%E -2.57%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.97%EV -14.76%E -3.69%K -4.92%G +0.000%19.2%2026-02-22 00:45
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 55.79%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.82%EV -30.14%E -7.35%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.39%EV -22.22%E -6.09%K -8.38%G +0.000%17.1%2026-02-20 13:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.14%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71%0.6%2026-02-22 01:25
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 62.14%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71%0.6%2026-02-22 01:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.87%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.07%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06%1.0%2026-02-22 01:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.87%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.07%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06%1.0%2026-02-22 01:25
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.17%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.94%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.90%1.8%2026-02-22 01:25
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.69%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.57%1.9%2026-02-22 00:40