The School of Odds

Nashville SC v Inter Miami CF

2026-08-16 00:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Nashville SC (Local)

Prediction 44.62%2.24fair odd
EV -3.61%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -3.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.80%44.58%44.77%45.54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.882.052.102.1653.19%48.82%47.62%46.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Inter Miami CF (Visit)

Prediction 31.43%3.18fair odd
EV +0.259%
Edge +0.081%
Kelly +0.118%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.37%31.30%31.50%31.78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.652.943.003.1937.74%34.03%33.33%31.35%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 23.95%4.18fair odd
EV -4.21%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.22%24.12%23.73%25.55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.503.773.754.0028.57%26.53%26.67%25.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.85%EV -3.61%E -1.67%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.37%EV +0.259%E +0.081%K +0.118%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.78%EV -6.36%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-26 11:20
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.18%EV -6.29%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -4.14%E -1.36%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -4.21%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 11:20
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.71%EV -5.40%E -2.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.59%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70%EV -4.21%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 11:20
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -6.29%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.21%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 11:20
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -6.29%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.21%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 11:20
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -8.52%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -4.21%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 11:20
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.29%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -13.79%E -3.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 11:45
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.29%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -13.79%E -3.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 11:45
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.29%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -13.79%E -3.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 11:45
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.29%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -5.71%E -1.90%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -13.79%E -3.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 11:45
ReBet2.03I 49.26%NM 44.85%EV -9.41%E -4.64%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -7.28%E -2.47%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -10.20%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 11:19
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 44.74%EV -9.86%E -4.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -8.86%E -3.05%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -10.20%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 11:20
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -14.77%E -7.73%K -16.23%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.57%EV -11.37%E -4.03%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.29%EV -14.99%E -4.22%K -5.88%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-26 11:17
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -10.75%E -5.38%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -12.00%E -4.29%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -10.20%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-26 11:20
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.26%EV -12.98%E -6.66%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.52%EV -12.00%E -4.29%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.22%EV -9.00%E -2.37%K -3.21%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-26 11:20
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 44.70%EV -13.43%E -6.92%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.54%EV -13.57%E -4.93%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.76%EV -12.59%E -3.45%K -4.75%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-26 11:20
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 44.51%EV -16.11%E -8.57%K -18.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.58%EV -16.71%E -6.31%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.91%EV -16.18%E -4.62%K -6.47%G +0.000%19.5%2026-07-26 11:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.