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Nashville SC v Atlanta United FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nashville SC (Local)
assuming max odds 1.60
Atlanta United FC (Visit)
assuming max odds 5.50
Draw
assuming max odds 4.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nashville SC (Local): 59.80%; Atlanta United FC (Visit): 17.58%; Draw: 22.62%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.42. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.40, with an expected value of -0.451%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -4.32%E -2.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -12.11%E -2.42%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -11.76%E -3.02%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-18 00:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.77%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.60%EV -5.08%E -0.941%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%EV -4.98%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-18 00:11 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.55%EV -4.92%E -3.09%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -12.11%E -2.42%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -0.451%E -0.103%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-18 00:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.52%E -3.49%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -5.08%E -0.941%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -10.63%E -2.69%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-18 00:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -6.12%E -3.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.72%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -2.71%E -0.631%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-18 00:22 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -6.71%E -4.30%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -3.33%E -0.605%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.98%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 00:22 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -3.33%E -0.605%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -7.24%E -1.77%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-18 00:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -12.11%E -2.42%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.50%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-18 00:24 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.71%EV -7.31%E -4.72%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -17.39%E -3.70%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.93%EV -6.11%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-18 00:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.89%EV -9.11%E -5.99%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -20.90%E -4.65%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.56%EV -11.76%E -3.02%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-18 00:23 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -10.30%E -6.87%K -20.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -3.33%E -0.605%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.50%E -2.38%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-18 00:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
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