Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota United FC v Sporting Kansas City

2026-10-29 00:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota United FC (Local)

Prediction 66.33%1.51fair odd
EV -5.15%
Edge -3.60%
Kelly -11.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.48%66.33%66.33%67.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.401.411.4374.63%71.17%70.92%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sporting Kansas City (Visit)

Prediction 15.33%6.52fair odd
EV -0.342%
Edge -0.053%
Kelly -0.062%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.82%15.33%15.33%15.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.606.076.106.5017.86%16.47%16.39%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.34%5.45fair odd
EV -0.974%
Edge -0.180%
Kelly -0.221%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.83%18.34%18.34%18.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.075.105.4021.28%19.74%19.61%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Minnesota United FC (Local): 66.33%; Sporting Kansas City (Visit): 15.33%; Draw: 18.34%. For Sporting Kansas City (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.52. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 6.50, with an expected value of -0.342%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.15%E -3.60%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.82%EV -0.342%E -0.053%K -0.062%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.83%EV -0.974%E -0.180%K -0.221%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-22 01:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.15%E -3.60%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.82%EV -0.342%E -0.053%K -0.062%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.83%EV -0.974%E -0.180%K -0.221%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-22 01:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.15%E -3.60%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.82%EV -0.342%E -0.053%K -0.062%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.83%EV -0.974%E -0.180%K -0.221%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-22 01:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -5.81%E -4.09%K -13.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -8.01%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -8.31%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-22 01:05
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.33%EV -6.47%E -4.59%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.33%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -6.47%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-22 01:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.33%EV -6.47%E -4.59%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.33%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -6.47%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-22 01:15
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.33%EV -6.47%E -4.59%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.33%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -6.47%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-22 01:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.33%EV -6.47%E -4.59%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.33%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -6.47%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-22 01:15
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.33%EV -6.47%E -4.59%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.33%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -6.47%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-22 01:15
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.33%EV -6.47%E -4.59%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.33%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -6.47%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-22 01:15
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.33%EV -6.47%E -4.59%K -15.79%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.33%EV -6.47%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -6.47%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-22 01:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.83%EV -7.14%E -5.10%K -17.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -8.01%E -1.33%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -10.14%E -2.07%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-22 01:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.48%EV -7.14%E -5.10%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.81%EV -11.07%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -10.14%E -2.07%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-22 01:15
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.48%EV -7.14%E -5.10%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.81%EV -11.07%E -1.91%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -10.14%E -2.07%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-22 01:15
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.67%EV -9.79%E -7.20%K -27.20%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.53%EV -11.84%E -2.06%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.80%EV -12.89%E -2.71%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-22 01:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 65.60%EV -11.12%E -8.30%K -32.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.70%EV -14.14%E -2.53%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.70%EV -13.81%E -2.94%K -3.73%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-22 01:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.