Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota United FC v Orlando City SC

2026-08-30 00:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota United FC (Local)

Prediction 50.92%1.96fair odd
EV -4.27%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -4.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.47%50.92%50.92%51.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.821.831.8857.14%54.91%54.64%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Orlando City SC (Visit)

Prediction 25.19%3.97fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -0.789%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.08%25.19%25.19%25.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.683.703.8528.57%27.16%27.03%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.89%4.19fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -0.497%
Kelly -0.657%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.52%23.89%23.89%24.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.893.904.1027.03%25.70%25.64%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Minnesota United FC (Local): 50.92%; Orlando City SC (Visit): 25.19%; Draw: 23.89%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.19. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.10, with an expected value of -2.04%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.37%EV -4.27%E -2.27%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.08%EV -3.04%E -0.789%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%EV -2.04%E -0.497%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-20 14:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.37%EV -4.27%E -2.27%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.08%EV -3.04%E -0.789%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%EV -2.04%E -0.497%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-20 14:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.37%EV -4.27%E -2.27%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.08%EV -3.04%E -0.789%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%EV -2.04%E -0.497%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-20 14:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.81%E -3.72%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.56%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.43%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-20 14:29
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.81%E -3.72%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.81%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -6.81%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-20 14:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.81%E -3.72%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.81%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -6.81%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-20 14:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.81%E -3.72%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.81%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -6.81%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-20 14:14
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.81%E -3.72%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.81%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -6.81%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-20 14:14
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.81%E -3.72%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.81%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -6.81%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-20 14:14
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.81%E -3.72%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.81%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -6.81%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-20 14:13
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.81%E -3.72%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.81%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -6.81%E -1.75%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-20 14:14
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.34%E -4.63%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -9.33%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.20%E -2.42%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-20 14:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.47%EV -8.85%E -4.94%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -10.59%E -2.98%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -10.40%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-20 14:14
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.58%EV -9.87%E -5.58%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -10.59%E -2.98%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -11.59%E -3.13%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-20 14:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -10.89%E -6.22%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -11.85%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -11.59%E -3.13%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-20 14:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -10.89%E -6.22%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -11.85%E -3.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -11.59%E -3.13%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-20 14:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 49.51%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.24%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.24%11.0%2026-08-20 20:00

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