L’École des cotes

Minnesota United FC v FC Cincinnati

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 21:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Minnesota United FC (Local)

Prévision 41.94%2.38cote équitable
EV -2.71%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -2.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.41%42.05%41.88%44.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.182.202.3251.28%45.95%45.45%43.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Cincinnati (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.46%3.28cote équitable
EV -0.996%
Avantage -0.306%
Kelly -0.443%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.13%30.44%30.56%31.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.073.083.2536.36%32.59%32.47%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.60%3.62cote équitable
EV +0.744%
Avantage +0.204%
Kelly +0.281%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.93%27.52%27.56%28.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.953.423.403.6533.90%29.20%29.41%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.32%EV -9.42%E -4.36%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.45%EV -0.996%E -0.306%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.23%EV +0.744%E +0.204%K +0.281%G +0.002%4.5%2026-02-28 20:55
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 44.32%EV -9.42%E -4.36%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.45%EV -0.996%E -0.306%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.23%EV +0.744%E +0.204%K +0.281%G +0.002%4.5%2026-02-28 20:54
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.32%EV -9.42%E -4.36%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.45%EV -0.996%E -0.306%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.23%EV +0.744%E +0.204%K +0.281%G +0.002%4.5%2026-02-28 20:54
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.32%EV -9.42%E -4.36%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.45%EV -0.996%E -0.306%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.23%EV +0.744%E +0.204%K +0.281%G +0.002%4.5%2026-02-28 20:55
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 43.16%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.83%EV -6.17%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV +0.744%E +0.204%K +0.281%G +0.002%5.3%2026-02-28 20:44
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.54%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -0.636%E -0.177%K -0.245%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 20:44
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -11.10%E -5.23%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -2.52%E -0.787%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -0.636%E -0.177%K -0.245%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 20:54
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -11.10%E -5.23%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -2.52%E -0.787%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -0.636%E -0.177%K -0.245%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 20:55
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -11.10%E -5.23%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -2.52%E -0.787%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -0.636%E -0.177%K -0.245%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 20:54
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -11.10%E -5.23%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -2.52%E -0.787%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -0.636%E -0.177%K -0.245%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 20:55
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -11.10%E -5.23%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -2.52%E -0.787%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -0.636%E -0.177%K -0.245%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 20:54
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -11.10%E -5.23%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -2.52%E -0.787%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -0.636%E -0.177%K -0.245%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 20:54
1xBet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.79%EV -2.71%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.98%EV -4.65%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.23%EV -1.74%E -0.489%K -0.680%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-28 21:19
MyBookie.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.15%EV -6.06%E -2.71%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.26%EV -8.00%E -2.65%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -2.02%E -0.568%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 20:48
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -11.93%E -5.68%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.52%E -0.787%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -2.02%E -0.568%K -0.791%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 20:55
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -11.93%E -5.68%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.52%E -0.787%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -2.02%E -0.568%K -0.791%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 20:54
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 42.74%EV -5.22%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.90%EV -1.61%E -0.497%K -0.720%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.36%EV -2.57%E -0.728%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 21:15
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 42.74%EV -5.22%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.90%EV -1.61%E -0.497%K -0.720%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.36%EV -2.57%E -0.728%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 21:14
GTbets2.27I 44.05%NM 41.96%EV -4.81%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.83%EV -5.87%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -3.40%E -0.970%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 21:19
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.40%E -0.970%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 21:14
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 44.47%EV -13.19%E -6.37%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -4.04%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -3.40%E -0.970%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 20:55
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -9.84%E -4.58%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -13.18%E -4.62%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -3.40%E -0.970%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 20:44
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.89%EV -3.13%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.05%EV -1.91%E -0.593%K -0.860%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.05%EV -4.78%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 21:20
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -15.29%E -7.57%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -7.09%E -2.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -4.78%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 20:54
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -15.29%E -7.57%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -7.09%E -2.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -4.78%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 20:54
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.55%EV -3.55%E -1.54%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.34%EV -4.04%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 21:09
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -2.52%E -0.787%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 21:04
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -0.996%E -0.306%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 21:15
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 21:19
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -3.55%E -1.54%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 21:19
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -7.09%E -2.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 21:09
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 20:50
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 21:23
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -11.93%E -5.68%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -11.66%E -4.02%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 13:05
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -11.93%E -5.68%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -11.66%E -4.02%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 13:05
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -11.93%E -5.68%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -11.66%E -4.02%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 13:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -11.93%E -5.68%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -11.66%E -4.02%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 13:05
Marathon Bet2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -6.06%E -2.71%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.71%EV -7.39%E -2.43%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -6.71%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 21:19
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.76%EV -2.71%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -7.09%E -2.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 21:19
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.76%EV -2.71%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -7.09%E -2.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 21:19
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 21:04
Bovada2.27I 44.05%NM 41.29%EV -4.81%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -7.09%E -2.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 21:24
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 21:20
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 42.98%EV -11.93%E -5.68%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-28 21:20
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.42%EV -14.03%E -6.84%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.62%EV -16.23%E -5.90%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.96%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-28 20:44
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.52%E -0.787%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 21:14
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.52%E -0.787%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 21:14
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 21:10
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.84%E -4.58%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.66%E -4.02%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 21:04
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.33%EV -13.19%E -6.37%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 30.96%EV -13.79%E -4.87%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.71%EV -9.47%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-28 21:03
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -3.55%E -1.54%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 21:19
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 21:09
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 21:09
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 21:10
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 21:09
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.41%EV -14.03%E -6.84%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.83%EV -14.09%E -5.00%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.75%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-28 21:24
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 21:09
Parions Sport (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 42.63%EV -16.55%E -8.32%K -16.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.85%EV -16.23%E -5.90%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.51%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%17.9%2026-02-28 21:04
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 42.64%EV -18.22%E -9.35%K -19.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.17%EV -13.18%E -4.62%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.19%EV -18.58%E -6.30%K -9.53%G +0.000%20.3%2026-02-28 21:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.02%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.8%2026-02-28 21:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.02%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.8%2026-02-28 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.02%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.8%2026-02-28 21:25
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.02%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.8%2026-02-28 21:20
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.53%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.68%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-02-28 21:05
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.66%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.09%1.7%2026-02-28 21:20