La escuela de los momios

Minnesota United FC v FC Cincinnati

Inicio: 2026-02-28 21:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Minnesota United FC (Local)

Predicción 41.94%2.38momio equitativo
EV -2.71%
Ventaja -1.17%
Kelly -2.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.41%42.05%41.88%44.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.182.202.3251.28%45.95%45.45%43.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Cincinnati (Visitante)

Predicción 30.46%3.28momio equitativo
EV -0.996%
Ventaja -0.306%
Kelly -0.443%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.13%30.44%30.56%31.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.073.083.2536.36%32.59%32.47%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.60%3.62momio equitativo
EV +0.744%
Ventaja +0.204%
Kelly +0.281%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.93%27.52%27.56%28.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.423.403.6533.90%29.20%29.41%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.32%EV -9.42%E -4.36%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.45%EV -0.996%E -0.306%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.23%EV +0.744%E +0.204%K +0.281%G +0.002%4.5%2026-02-28 20:55
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 44.32%EV -9.42%E -4.36%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.45%EV -0.996%E -0.306%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.23%EV +0.744%E +0.204%K +0.281%G +0.002%4.5%2026-02-28 20:54
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.32%EV -9.42%E -4.36%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.45%EV -0.996%E -0.306%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.23%EV +0.744%E +0.204%K +0.281%G +0.002%4.5%2026-02-28 20:54
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.32%EV -9.42%E -4.36%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.45%EV -0.996%E -0.306%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.23%EV +0.744%E +0.204%K +0.281%G +0.002%4.5%2026-02-28 20:55
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 43.16%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.83%EV -6.17%E -2.00%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV +0.744%E +0.204%K +0.281%G +0.002%5.3%2026-02-28 20:44
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.54%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -0.636%E -0.177%K -0.245%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 20:44
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -11.10%E -5.23%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -2.52%E -0.787%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -0.636%E -0.177%K -0.245%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 20:54
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -11.10%E -5.23%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -2.52%E -0.787%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -0.636%E -0.177%K -0.245%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 20:55
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -11.10%E -5.23%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -2.52%E -0.787%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -0.636%E -0.177%K -0.245%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 20:54
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -11.10%E -5.23%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -2.52%E -0.787%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -0.636%E -0.177%K -0.245%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 20:55
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -11.10%E -5.23%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -2.52%E -0.787%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -0.636%E -0.177%K -0.245%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 20:54
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -11.10%E -5.23%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -2.52%E -0.787%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -0.636%E -0.177%K -0.245%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 20:54
1xBet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.79%EV -2.71%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.98%EV -4.65%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.23%EV -1.74%E -0.489%K -0.680%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-28 21:19
MyBookie.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.15%EV -6.06%E -2.71%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.26%EV -8.00%E -2.65%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -2.02%E -0.568%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 20:48
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -11.93%E -5.68%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.52%E -0.787%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -2.02%E -0.568%K -0.791%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 20:55
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -11.93%E -5.68%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.52%E -0.787%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -2.02%E -0.568%K -0.791%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 20:54
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 42.74%EV -5.22%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.90%EV -1.61%E -0.497%K -0.720%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.36%EV -2.57%E -0.728%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 21:15
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 42.74%EV -5.22%E -2.31%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.90%EV -1.61%E -0.497%K -0.720%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.36%EV -2.57%E -0.728%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 21:14
GTbets2.27I 44.05%NM 41.96%EV -4.81%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.83%EV -5.87%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -3.40%E -0.970%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 21:19
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.40%E -0.970%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 21:14
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 44.47%EV -13.19%E -6.37%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -4.04%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -3.40%E -0.970%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 20:55
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -9.84%E -4.58%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -13.18%E -4.62%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -3.40%E -0.970%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 20:44
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.89%EV -3.13%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.05%EV -1.91%E -0.593%K -0.860%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.05%EV -4.78%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 21:20
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -15.29%E -7.57%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -7.09%E -2.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -4.78%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 20:54
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.49%EV -15.29%E -7.57%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.46%EV -7.09%E -2.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -4.78%E -1.38%K -1.95%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 20:54
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.55%EV -3.55%E -1.54%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.34%EV -4.04%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 21:09
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -2.52%E -0.787%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 21:04
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -0.996%E -0.306%K -0.443%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 21:15
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 21:19
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -3.55%E -1.54%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 21:19
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -7.09%E -2.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 21:09
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 20:50
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 21:23
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -11.93%E -5.68%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -11.66%E -4.02%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 13:05
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -11.93%E -5.68%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -11.66%E -4.02%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 13:05
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -11.93%E -5.68%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -11.66%E -4.02%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 13:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -11.93%E -5.68%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -11.66%E -4.02%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.16%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 13:05
Marathon Bet2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -6.06%E -2.71%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.71%EV -7.39%E -2.43%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -6.71%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 21:19
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.76%EV -2.71%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -7.09%E -2.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 21:19
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.76%EV -2.71%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -7.09%E -2.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 21:19
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.64%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 21:04
Bovada2.27I 44.05%NM 41.29%EV -4.81%E -2.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -7.09%E -2.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 21:24
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 21:20
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 42.98%EV -11.93%E -5.68%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-28 21:20
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.42%EV -14.03%E -6.84%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.62%EV -16.23%E -5.90%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.96%EV -7.54%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-28 20:44
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.52%E -0.787%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 21:14
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -2.52%E -0.787%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 21:14
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 21:10
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -9.84%E -4.58%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.66%E -4.02%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -8.92%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 21:04
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.33%EV -13.19%E -6.37%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 30.96%EV -13.79%E -4.87%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.71%EV -9.47%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-28 21:03
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -3.55%E -1.54%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 21:19
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 21:09
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 21:09
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 21:10
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 21:09
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.41%EV -14.03%E -6.84%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.83%EV -14.09%E -5.00%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.75%EV -10.30%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-28 21:24
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.57%E -1.80%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 21:09
Parions Sport (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 42.63%EV -16.55%E -8.32%K -16.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.85%EV -16.23%E -5.90%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.51%EV -11.68%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%17.9%2026-02-28 21:04
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 42.64%EV -18.22%E -9.35%K -19.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.17%EV -13.18%E -4.62%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.19%EV -18.58%E -6.30%K -9.53%G +0.000%20.3%2026-02-28 21:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.02%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.8%2026-02-28 21:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.02%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.8%2026-02-28 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.02%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.8%2026-02-28 21:25
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.02%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.8%2026-02-28 21:20
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.53%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.68%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-02-28 21:05
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.66%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.09%1.7%2026-02-28 21:20