The School of Odds

Los Angeles FC v Sporting Kansas City

2026-07-26 02:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Los Angeles FC (Local)

Prediction 78.89%1.27fair odd
EV -3.75%
Edge -3.08%
Kelly -17.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.01%78.80%78.90%81.43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.121.181.181.2289%85%85%82%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sporting Kansas City (Visit)

Prediction 7.83%12.77fair odd
EV +17.44%
Edge +1.16%
Kelly +1.25%
Growth +0.217%

assuming max odds 15.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.46%7.91%7.82%10.50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
8.0011.4811.5015.0013%9%9%7%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 13.28%7.53fair odd
EV +6.23%
Edge +0.779%
Kelly +0.891%
Growth +0.056%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.11%13.29%13.29%14.61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
5.806.897.008.0017%15%14%13%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.19I 84.03%NM 81.43%EV -6.12%E -5.14%K -32.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.46%EV +17.44%E +1.16%K +1.25%G +0.217%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.11%EV +6.23%E +0.779%K +0.891%G +0.056%3.2%2026-07-19 17:00
SportsBet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.54%EV -6.91%E -5.85%K -38.38%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +9.61%E +0.686%K +0.739%G +0.071%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.67%EV -0.405%E -0.054%K -0.062%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 13:25
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -6.91%E -5.85%K -38.38%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +9.61%E +0.686%K +0.739%G +0.071%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -7.04%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 16:35
Marathon Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.58%EV -7.70%E -6.58%K -45.28%G +0.000%13.25I 7.55%NM 7.03%EV +3.74%E +0.282%K +0.305%G +0.011%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.40%EV -7.71%E -1.11%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-19 16:55
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.50%EV -5.33%E -4.44%K -26.65%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.78%E +0.137%K +0.148%G +0.003%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.16%EV -3.73%E -0.514%K -0.596%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 13:25
888sport1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.91%E -5.85%K -38.38%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +1.78%E +0.137%K +0.148%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -7.04%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 17:30
William Hill1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.91%E -5.85%K -38.38%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +1.78%E +0.137%K +0.148%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -7.04%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 17:30
888sport (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.91%E -5.85%K -38.38%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +1.78%E +0.137%K +0.148%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -7.04%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 17:30
Mr Green (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.91%E -5.85%K -38.38%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +1.78%E +0.137%K +0.148%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -7.04%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 17:30
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -7.70%E -6.58%K -45.28%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV +1.78%E +0.137%K +0.148%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.04%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-19 13:28
GTbets1.20I 83.33%NM 79.44%EV -5.33%E -4.44%K -26.65%G +0.000%12.53I 7.98%NM 7.61%EV -1.90%E -0.152%K -0.165%G +0.000%7.36I 13.59%NM 12.95%EV -2.26%E -0.308%K -0.356%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 11:35
Betr (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.04%EV -6.12%E -5.14%K -32.21%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.52%EV -2.14%E -0.171%K -0.186%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -7.04%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 13:25
LowVig.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 79.50%EV -5.33%E -4.44%K -26.65%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.95%EV -6.05%E -0.504%K -0.550%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.55%EV +0.923%E +0.121%K +0.140%G +0.001%4.8%2026-07-19 19:40
BetOnline.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 79.50%EV -5.33%E -4.44%K -26.65%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.95%EV -6.05%E -0.504%K -0.550%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.55%EV +0.923%E +0.121%K +0.140%G +0.001%4.8%2026-07-19 19:40
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.91%E -5.85%K -38.38%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -6.05%E -0.504%K -0.550%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -7.04%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-19 14:14
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -7.70%E -6.58%K -45.28%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -6.05%E -0.504%K -0.550%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -7.04%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-19 13:25
betano_uk1.15I 86.96%NM 79.10%EV -9.27%E -8.06%K -61.83%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV -9.97%E -0.867%K -0.949%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -7.04%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-19 14:35
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 79.10%EV -9.27%E -8.06%K -61.83%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.91%EV -9.97%E -0.867%K -0.949%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -7.04%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-19 14:33
MyBookie.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 78.53%EV -6.91%E -5.85%K -38.38%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.24%EV -11.92%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -7.04%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-19 14:55
BoyleSports1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -6.91%E -5.85%K -38.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -13.88%E -1.26%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -7.04%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-19 13:40
Bet Right1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -6.91%E -5.85%K -38.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -13.88%E -1.26%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -13.68%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-19 13:25
betfred_uk1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -6.91%E -5.85%K -38.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -13.88%E -1.26%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -13.68%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-19 13:25
ReBet1.17I 85.47%NM 77.82%EV -7.70%E -6.58%K -45.28%G +0.000%10.60I 9.43%NM 8.59%EV -17.01%E -1.60%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.59%EV -11.03%E -1.65%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-19 23:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.75%E -3.08%K -17.06%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV -17.79%E -1.69%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -7.04%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 14:25
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.75%E -3.08%K -17.06%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.00%EV -17.79%E -1.69%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -7.04%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 14:25
BetMGM1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.54%E -3.75%K -21.62%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -17.79%E -1.69%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -7.04%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-19 14:25
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.33%E -4.44%K -26.65%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.89%EV -17.79%E -1.69%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -7.04%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 15:15
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 77.72%EV -8.49%E -7.32%K -53.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -21.71%E -2.17%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.26%EV -9.70%E -1.43%K -1.67%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-20 02:35
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 77.14%EV -10.06%E -8.83%K -71.88%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.79%EV -21.71%E -2.17%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.07%EV -17.00%E -2.72%K -3.24%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-19 13:25
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 76.96%EV -10.06%E -8.83%K -71.88%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.00%EV -23.67%E -2.43%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.04%EV -17.00%E -2.72%K -3.24%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-19 14:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.28%EV -5.33%E -4.44%K -26.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -25.62%E -2.70%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.08%EV -13.68%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-19 14:25
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 76.28%EV -5.33%E -4.44%K -26.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -25.62%E -2.70%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.08%EV -13.68%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-19 14:25
Unibet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 76.31%EV -10.85%E -9.60%K -83.48%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.08%EV -25.62%E -2.70%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.61%EV -21.65%E -3.67%K -4.42%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-20 02:35
Winamax (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 75.96%EV -10.06%E -8.83%K -71.88%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.19%EV -33.45%E -3.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.85%EV -17.00%E -2.72%K -3.24%G +0.000%15.5%2026-07-19 14:49
Winamax (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 75.01%EV -11.64%E -10.39%K -97.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.50%EV -37.37%E -4.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 14.49%EV -22.98%E -3.96%K -4.79%G +0.000%19.0%2026-07-19 14:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.23I 81.30%NM 77.94%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.63%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.43%4.3%2026-07-20 05:05
Smarkets1.15I 86.96%NM 76.39%9.80I 10.20%NM 8.96%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.64%13.8%2026-07-19 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-19 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-19 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-19 14:35