The School of Odds

Los Angeles FC v San Diego FC

2026-08-16 02:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Los Angeles FC (Local)

Prediction 62.54%1.60fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -5.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.54%62.38%62.54%63.69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.411.471.481.5570.92%67.85%67.34%64.52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

San Diego FC (Visit)

Prediction 17.82%5.61fair odd
EV -0.198%
Edge -0.035%
Kelly -0.043%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.95%17.84%17.82%19.99%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.205.025.005.6023.81%19.93%20.00%17.86%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 19.64%5.09fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -0.358%
Kelly -0.448%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.05%19.78%19.64%20.78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.104.544.455.0024.39%22.01%22.47%20.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.58%EV -3.07%E -1.98%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.57I 17.95%NM 17.42%EV -0.733%E -0.132%K -0.160%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 20.00%EV -4.74%E -0.977%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-26 11:54
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.58%EV -6.20%E -4.13%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.34%EV -1.98%E -0.360%K -0.440%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -1.79%E -0.358%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 11:55
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -6.20%E -4.13%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -1.98%E -0.360%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -5.72%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 11:55
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -6.20%E -4.13%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.89%E -2.18%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -13.58%E -3.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 13:00
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -6.20%E -4.13%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.89%E -2.18%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -13.58%E -3.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 13:05
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -6.20%E -4.13%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.89%E -2.18%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -13.58%E -3.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 13:00
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -6.20%E -4.13%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.89%E -2.18%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -13.58%E -3.09%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 13:00
SportsBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.69%EV -6.82%E -4.58%K -13.92%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV -0.198%E -0.035%K -0.043%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV -3.76%E -0.766%K -0.963%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 11:55
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.39%EV -7.45%E -5.03%K -15.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -1.98%E -0.360%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.72%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 12:00
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 61.25%EV -8.07%E -5.49%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -15.35%E -3.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.79%EV -10.63%E -2.34%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 13:05
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -9.95%E -6.91%K -22.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.89%E -2.18%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -6.70%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 12:00
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 61.61%EV -9.95%E -6.91%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -15.35%E -3.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%EV -11.61%E -2.58%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-26 11:55
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.25%EV -9.95%E -6.91%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -14.46%E -3.01%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -14.95%E -3.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-26 11:58
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.43%EV -9.95%E -6.91%K -22.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.34%EV -19.80%E -4.40%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.24%EV -15.54%E -3.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-26 13:05
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 60.72%EV -11.20%E -7.89%K -26.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.75%EV -18.02%E -3.92%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.53%EV -17.50%E -4.17%K -5.47%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-26 13:05
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 59.54%EV -11.82%E -8.39%K -28.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.99%EV -25.15%E -5.99%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.48%EV -19.47%E -4.75%K -6.28%G +0.000%19.1%2026-07-26 13:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 60.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.93%16.5%2026-07-26 13:15