The School of Odds

Los Angeles FC v Real Salt Lake

2026-07-23 02:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Los Angeles FC (Local)

Prediction 55.17%1.81fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -3.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.41%55.27%55.24%57.43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.561.671.671.7664%60%60%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Real Salt Lake (Visit)

Prediction 21.56%4.64fair odd
EV -0.814%
Edge -0.177%
Kelly -0.226%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.55%21.59%21.71%22.80%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.704.204.204.6027%24%24%22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 23.26%4.30fair odd
EV -1.13%
Edge -0.265%
Kelly -0.346%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.02%23.14%23.05%23.90%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.653.933.924.2527%25%25%24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.17%EV -2.90%E -1.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.77%EV -3.83%E -0.859%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 23.06%EV -2.06%E -0.488%K -0.641%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-12 10:04
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.96%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -7.28%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -4.62%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 08:59
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.89%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.21%EV -4.05%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.10%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 09:05
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.89%EV -5.10%E -2.97%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.21%EV -4.05%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.10%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 09:04
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -6.21%E -3.65%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -13.75%E -3.44%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-12 08:54
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -6.21%E -3.65%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -13.75%E -3.44%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-12 08:54
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -6.21%E -3.65%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -13.75%E -3.44%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-12 08:54
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -6.21%E -3.65%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -13.75%E -3.44%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-12 08:54
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.24%EV -6.76%E -4.00%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -7.28%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -5.78%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 10:04
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.80%EV -7.31%E -4.35%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.74%EV -0.814%E -0.177%K -0.226%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -1.13%E -0.265%K -0.346%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 08:29
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.86%E -4.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -2.97%E -0.660%K -0.849%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 08:29
ReBet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.92%EV -8.41%E -5.07%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -9.44%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -9.27%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-12 09:04
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -8.96%E -5.43%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -9.44%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-12 10:17
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -8.96%E -5.43%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -9.44%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.94%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-12 10:20
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 54.63%EV -8.96%E -5.43%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.26%EV -12.67%E -3.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-12 11:34
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -10.62%E -6.56%K -17.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -9.44%E -2.25%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-12 08:29
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -11.17%E -6.94%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -2.97%E -0.660%K -0.849%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -2.29%E -0.545%K -0.715%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-12 08:30
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.45%EV -11.72%E -7.33%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.63%EV -16.99%E -4.41%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-12 09:04
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.82%EV -13.38%E -8.52%K -23.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.79%EV -14.83%E -3.75%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 23.39%EV -14.39%E -3.91%K -5.37%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-12 09:03
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 54.08%EV -13.93%E -8.93%K -24.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.80%EV -20.22%E -5.46%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.11%EV -15.08%E -4.13%K -5.69%G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-12 09:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 54.07%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.05%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.88%16.3%2026-07-12 09:10