Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles FC v Orlando City SC

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 01:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles FC (Local)

Prediction 73.01%1.37fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -2.17%
Kelly -8.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.94%72.93%73.18%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.281.281.3381.97%78.18%78.13%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Orlando City SC (Visit)

Prediction 11.20%8.93fair odd
EV +9.75%
Edge +0.995%
Kelly +1.11%
Growth +0.108%

assuming max odds 9.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.71%11.24%11.10%13.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.758.458.509.8014.81%11.84%11.76%10.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 15.79%6.33fair odd
EV +2.62%
Edge +0.402%
Kelly +0.476%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.44%15.83%15.73%17.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.205.825.906.5019.23%17.18%16.95%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles FC (Local): 73.01%; Orlando City SC (Visit): 11.20%; Draw: 15.79%. For Orlando City SC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.93. 23 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.75%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.66%EV -4.35%E -3.32%K -14.04%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.71%EV +9.75%E +0.995%K +1.11%G +0.108%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -14.75%E -2.73%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 01:10
NordicBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.66%EV -4.35%E -3.32%K -14.04%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.71%EV +9.75%E +0.995%K +1.11%G +0.108%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -14.75%E -2.73%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 01:10
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.88%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.11%EV +6.39%E +0.672%K +0.751%G +0.048%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.01%EV -5.28%E -0.880%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.88%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.11%EV +6.39%E +0.672%K +0.751%G +0.048%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.01%EV -5.28%E -0.880%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 01:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.88%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.11%EV +6.39%E +0.672%K +0.751%G +0.048%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.01%EV -5.28%E -0.880%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 01:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.88%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.11%EV +6.39%E +0.672%K +0.751%G +0.048%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.01%EV -5.28%E -0.880%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 01:00
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +6.39%E +0.672%K +0.751%G +0.048%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.28%E -0.880%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 01:19
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV +0.787%E +0.087%K +0.098%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -5.28%E -0.880%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 01:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV +0.787%E +0.087%K +0.098%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -5.28%E -0.880%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 01:14
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV +0.787%E +0.087%K +0.098%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -5.28%E -0.880%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 01:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV +0.787%E +0.087%K +0.098%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -5.28%E -0.880%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 01:00
Casumo🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV +0.787%E +0.087%K +0.098%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -5.28%E -0.880%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 01:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV +0.787%E +0.087%K +0.098%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -5.28%E -0.880%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 01:00
Unibet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV +0.787%E +0.087%K +0.098%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -5.28%E -0.880%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 01:00
Bally Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV +0.787%E +0.087%K +0.098%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -5.28%E -0.880%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 01:00
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV +0.787%E +0.087%K +0.098%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -5.28%E -0.880%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 01:00
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.53%EV -7.27%E -5.73%K -26.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +0.787%E +0.087%K +0.098%G +0.001%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV -8.44%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 00:54
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.53%EV -7.27%E -5.73%K -26.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +0.787%E +0.087%K +0.098%G +0.001%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV -8.44%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 00:54
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV +0.787%E +0.087%K +0.098%G +0.001%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -13.17%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 01:25
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.15%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV +0.787%E +0.087%K +0.098%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -17.12%E -3.26%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 01:19
TABtouch🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV +0.787%E +0.087%K +0.098%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -9.22%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 00:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV +0.787%E +0.087%K +0.098%G +0.001%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -10.01%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 23:01
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV +0.787%E +0.087%K +0.098%G +0.001%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.17%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 01:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.99%EV -8.00%E -6.35%K -30.78%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.47%EV -0.333%E -0.037%K -0.042%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -5.28%E -0.880%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 01:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.83%EV -4.35%E -3.32%K -14.04%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 11.05%EV -2.01%E -0.230%K -0.260%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.11%EV +1.04%E +0.162%K +0.192%G +0.002%3.4%2026-04-05 01:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.83%EV -4.35%E -3.32%K -14.04%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 11.05%EV -2.01%E -0.230%K -0.260%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.11%EV +1.04%E +0.162%K +0.192%G +0.002%3.4%2026-04-05 01:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.05%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.69%EV -2.01%E -0.230%K -0.260%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -9.22%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 01:15
theScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.21%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -4.81%E -0.566%K -0.642%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV +2.62%E +0.402%K +0.476%G +0.012%5.3%2026-04-05 01:10
Caesars🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.51%EV -8.00%E -6.35%K -30.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -4.81%E -0.566%K -0.642%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +2.62%E +0.402%K +0.476%G +0.012%6.5%2026-04-05 01:11
Bet Right🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -7.27%E -5.73%K -26.93%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -4.81%E -0.566%K -0.642%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.17%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 01:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.60%EV -10.19%E -8.29%K -44.31%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -4.81%E -0.566%K -0.642%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -9.22%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 01:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.45%EV -10.92%E -8.95%K -49.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV -4.81%E -0.566%K -0.642%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.00%EV -11.59%E -2.07%K -2.52%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-05 00:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.45%EV -10.92%E -8.95%K -49.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV -4.81%E -0.566%K -0.642%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.00%EV -11.59%E -2.07%K -2.52%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-05 00:54
Pinnacle🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.10%EV -4.35%E -3.32%K -14.04%G +0.000%8.43I 11.86%NM 11.36%EV -5.60%E -0.664%K -0.753%G +0.000%6.16I 16.23%NM 15.54%EV -2.75%E -0.447%K -0.533%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 01:15
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.93%EV -2.89%E -2.17%K -8.76%G +0.000%8.36I 11.96%NM 11.60%EV -6.38%E -0.763%K -0.867%G +0.000%6.27I 15.95%NM 15.47%EV -1.02%E -0.162%K -0.193%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-05 01:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.16%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.04%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.37%EV -7.05%E -0.850%K -0.966%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.47%EV -3.70%E -0.606%K -0.725%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 01:18
GTbets🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.40%EV -2.89%E -2.17%K -8.76%G +0.000%8.28I 12.08%NM 11.63%EV -7.28%E -0.879%K -0.999%G +0.000%6.03I 16.58%NM 15.97%EV -4.80%E -0.797%K -0.955%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 01:19
Fliff🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.74%EV -8.00%E -6.35%K -30.78%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.18%EV -8.17%E -0.997%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.08%EV -10.01%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 01:19
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -10.41%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -5.28%E -0.880%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 01:19
BetAnything🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -10.41%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -5.28%E -0.880%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 01:19
FanDuel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -10.41%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -5.28%E -0.880%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 01:10
Everygame🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.33%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -10.41%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -9.22%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 01:10
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.73%E -6.99%K -34.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -10.41%E -1.30%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -5.28%E -0.880%K -1.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 01:09
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -16.01%E -2.13%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -5.28%E -0.880%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 01:19
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -16.01%E -2.13%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -9.22%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 01:10
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -16.01%E -2.13%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -13.17%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 01:19
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -16.01%E -2.13%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -13.17%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 01:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -16.01%E -2.13%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -13.17%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 01:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -5.08%E -3.91%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -16.01%E -2.13%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -13.17%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 01:20
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -16.01%E -2.13%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -13.17%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 01:13
Neds🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -16.01%E -2.13%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -13.17%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -16.01%E -2.13%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -13.17%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 20:19
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.26%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -16.01%E -2.13%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -13.17%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 20:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.26%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -16.01%E -2.13%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -13.17%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 20:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.90%EV -9.46%E -7.63%K -39.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.89%EV -16.01%E -2.13%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -13.17%E -2.39%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 01:13
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.27%EV -8.00%E -6.35%K -30.78%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.56%EV -18.81%E -2.59%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -5.28%E -0.880%K -1.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 01:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 71.10%EV -10.92%E -8.95%K -49.65%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.22%EV -20.49%E -2.89%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.68%EV -17.91%E -3.44%K -4.26%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-05 01:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 71.33%EV -10.19%E -8.29%K -44.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.00%EV -24.41%E -3.62%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.67%EV -11.59%E -2.07%K -2.52%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-05 01:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 74.72%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.86%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%1.4%2026-04-05 01:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 74.72%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.86%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%1.4%2026-04-05 01:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 74.72%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.86%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%1.4%2026-04-05 01:14
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 74.72%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.86%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%1.4%2026-04-05 01:09
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 74.35%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.94%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.71%2.7%2026-04-05 01:24
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 74.74%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.69%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.57%2.9%2026-04-05 01:10