Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles FC v New York Red Bulls

2026-09-10 02:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles FC (Local)

Prediction 61.06%1.64fair odd
EV -4.75%
Edge -3.04%
Kelly -8.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.24%61.06%61.06%61.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.521.531.5668.03%65.74%65.36%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Red Bulls (Visit)

Prediction 19.07%5.25fair odd
EV -0.861%
Edge -0.166%
Kelly -0.205%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.54%19.07%19.07%19.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.604.894.905.2021.74%20.45%20.41%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.88%5.03fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -0.532%
Kelly -0.668%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.67%19.88%19.88%20.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.354.654.704.9022.99%21.52%21.28%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Los Angeles FC (Local): 61.06%; New York Red Bulls (Visit): 19.07%; Draw: 19.88%. For New York Red Bulls (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.25. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.20, with an expected value of -0.861%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.79%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.54%EV -0.861%E -0.166%K -0.205%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -2.61%E -0.532%K -0.668%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 04:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.79%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.54%EV -0.861%E -0.166%K -0.205%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -2.61%E -0.532%K -0.668%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 04:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.79%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.54%EV -0.861%E -0.166%K -0.205%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -2.61%E -0.532%K -0.668%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 04:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -4.67%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.78%EV -5.59%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 04:40
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.06%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 04:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.06%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 04:38
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.06%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 04:39
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.06%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 04:39
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.06%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 04:40
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.06%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 04:39
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.06%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 04:40
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.64%EV -8.41%E -5.61%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -9.44%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -10.56%E -2.35%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 04:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.24%EV -8.41%E -5.61%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV -10.39%E -2.21%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -12.54%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-31 04:39
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.56%EV -9.63%E -6.51%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.07%EV -10.39%E -2.21%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -12.54%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 04:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.33%EV -10.24%E -6.97%K -21.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -12.30%E -2.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.39%EV -13.54%E -3.11%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-31 03:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.33%EV -10.24%E -6.97%K -21.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -12.30%E -2.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.39%EV -13.54%E -3.11%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-31 03:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 51.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.14%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.14%20.1%2026-08-31 07:00