The School of Odds
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Los Angeles FC v Austin FC

2026-10-15 02:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles FC (Local)

Prediction 65.38%1.53fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -6.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.75%65.83%65.47%68.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.381.391.4876.92%72.38%71.94%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Austin FC (Visit)

Prediction 14.84%6.74fair odd
EV +3.89%
Edge +0.555%
Kelly +0.648%
Growth +0.025%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.37%14.61%14.76%15.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.226.007.0018.18%16.06%16.67%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.78%5.06fair odd
EV +0.874%
Edge +0.171%
Kelly +0.213%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.34%19.56%19.78%20.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.354.684.605.1022.99%21.37%21.74%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Los Angeles FC (Local): 65.38%; Austin FC (Visit): 14.84%; Draw: 19.78%. For Austin FC (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.74. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 7.00, producing a positive expected value of +3.89%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.98%EV -9.12%E -6.56%K -23.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV +3.89%E +0.555%K +0.648%G +0.025%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV +0.874%E +0.171%K +0.213%G +0.002%5.8%2026-10-04 11:25
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -10.43%E -7.61%K -28.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +3.89%E +0.555%K +0.648%G +0.025%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV +0.874%E +0.171%K +0.213%G +0.002%6.9%2026-10-04 11:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -8.47%E -6.05%K -21.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV +0.178%E +0.026%K +0.031%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -1.10%E -0.221%K -0.276%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 11:25
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.47%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.57I 15.22%NM 14.75%EV -2.49%E -0.380%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78%EV -3.08%E -0.629%K -0.790%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-04 12:33
MyBookie.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.51%EV -9.12%E -6.56%K -23.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -3.53%E -0.543%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.26%EV -5.06%E -1.05%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-04 11:24
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -11.08%E -8.15%K -30.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -3.53%E -0.543%K -0.642%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -1.10%E -0.221%K -0.276%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-04 11:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.47%EV -7.16%E -5.04%K -17.05%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.76%EV -6.50%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -7.04%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-04 12:19
ReBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -9.78%E -7.08%K -25.73%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.42%EV -6.50%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -9.02%E -1.96%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-04 11:25
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.47%EV -9.78%E -7.08%K -25.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -7.24%E -1.16%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -10.99%E -2.44%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-04 13:05
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -8.47%E -6.05%K -21.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -10.95%E -1.83%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -9.02%E -1.96%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-04 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -8.47%E -6.05%K -21.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -10.95%E -1.83%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -9.02%E -1.96%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-04 11:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -8.47%E -6.05%K -21.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -10.95%E -1.83%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -9.02%E -1.96%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-04 11:25
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.47%E -6.05%K -21.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -10.95%E -1.83%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -10.99%E -2.44%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-04 12:40
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.47%E -6.05%K -21.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -10.95%E -1.83%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -10.99%E -2.44%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-04 11:25
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -11.08%E -8.15%K -30.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -10.95%E -1.83%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -9.02%E -1.96%K -2.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-04 11:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 65.60%EV -12.39%E -9.25%K -36.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.65%EV -10.95%E -1.83%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.75%EV -11.98%E -2.69%K -3.47%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-04 11:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 65.82%EV -15.01%E -11.54%K -50.02%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.50%EV -12.44%E -2.11%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 19.67%EV -13.96%E -3.21%K -4.17%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-04 11:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 65.35%EV -11.74%E -8.69%K -33.54%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.48%EV -15.41%E -2.70%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.18%EV -9.02%E -1.96%K -2.50%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-04 11:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 64.76%EV -13.05%E -9.81%K -39.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.66%EV -18.37%E -3.34%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.58%EV -12.97%E -2.95%K -3.82%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-04 11:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.39I 71.94%NM 62.59%5.26I 19.01%NM 16.54%4.17I 23.98%NM 20.86%14.9%2026-10-04 13:16