The School of Odds

LA Galaxy v Los Angeles FC

2026-07-18 02:45 — MLS

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (6 in analysis)

Option 1: LA Galaxy (Local)

Odds
2.3043.48%Min
2.4840.37%Mean
2.5040.00%Median
2.6637.59%Max
Consensus probabilities
36.11%2.769Min
37.81%2.645Max
36.72%2.723Mean
36.46%2.743Median
36.66%2.728IQM
36.75%2.721Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.66 under the IQM model: 36.66%

EV -2.49%Edge -0.935%Kelly -1.50%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Los Angeles FC (Visit)

Odds
2.2045.45%Min
2.4241.30%Mean
2.4540.82%Median
2.5838.76%Max
Consensus probabilities
37.03%2.701Min
38.89%2.572Max
37.68%2.654Mean
37.55%2.663Median
37.55%2.663IQM
37.64%2.657Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.58 under the IQM model: 37.55%

EV -3.11%Edge -1.21%Kelly -1.97%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.3529.85%Min
3.5727.98%Mean
3.5228.37%Median
3.8026.32%Max
Consensus probabilities
23.85%4.193Min
26.68%3.748Max
25.61%3.905Mean
25.99%3.848Median
25.79%3.878IQM
25.61%3.905Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.80 under the IQM model: 25.79%

EV -2.01%Edge -0.529%Kelly -0.718%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLA Galaxy (Local) ▼Los Angeles FC (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.66I 37.59% NM 36.47%EV -2.49% E -0.935% K -1.50% G +0.000%2.58I 38.76% NM 37.60%EV -3.11% E -1.21% K -1.97% G +0.000%3.74I 26.74% NM 25.94%EV -3.56% E -0.951% K -1.30% G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-04 10:25
Marathon Bet2.56I 39.06% NM 36.45%EV -6.15% E -2.40% K -3.94% G +0.000%2.48I 40.32% NM 37.63%EV -6.87% E -2.77% K -4.64% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.92%EV -7.17% E -1.99% K -2.76% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-03 10:34
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22% NM 36.11%EV -6.52% E -2.56% K -4.21% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 37.58%EV -7.99% E -3.26% K -5.51% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.31%EV -9.75% E -2.78% K -3.90% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-01 19:00
SportsBet2.50I 40.00% NM 37.62%EV -8.35% E -3.34% K -5.57% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 37.62%EV -6.12% E -2.45% K -4.08% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.75%EV -2.01% E -0.529% K -0.718% G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 15:09
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00% NM 37.62%EV -8.35% E -3.34% K -5.57% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 37.62%EV -6.12% E -2.45% K -4.08% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.75%EV -2.01% E -0.529% K -0.718% G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 15:09
FanDuel2.50I 40.00% NM 37.62%EV -8.35% E -3.34% K -5.57% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 37.62%EV -6.12% E -2.45% K -4.08% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.75%EV -2.01% E -0.529% K -0.718% G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 15:10
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00% NM 36.57%EV -8.35% E -3.34% K -5.57% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 37.31%EV -7.99% E -3.26% K -5.51% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.12%EV -9.75% E -2.78% K -3.90% G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-04 23:54
William Hill2.50I 40.00% NM 36.29%EV -8.35% E -3.34% K -5.57% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 37.03%EV -7.99% E -3.26% K -5.51% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.68%EV -12.32% E -3.62% K -5.14% G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-02 23:40
888sport2.50I 40.00% NM 36.29%EV -8.35% E -3.34% K -5.57% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 37.03%EV -7.99% E -3.26% K -5.51% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.68%EV -12.32% E -3.62% K -5.14% G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-02 23:40
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00% NM 36.29%EV -8.35% E -3.34% K -5.57% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 37.03%EV -7.99% E -3.26% K -5.51% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.68%EV -12.32% E -3.62% K -5.14% G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-02 23:40
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00% NM 36.29%EV -8.35% E -3.34% K -5.57% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 37.03%EV -7.99% E -3.26% K -5.51% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.68%EV -12.32% E -3.62% K -5.14% G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-02 23:40
ReBet2.49I 40.16% NM 36.45%EV -8.72% E -3.50% K -5.85% G +0.000%2.39I 41.84% NM 37.98%EV -10.25% E -4.29% K -7.37% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 25.57%EV -8.46% E -2.38% K -3.32% G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-30 15:09
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82% NM 37.81%EV -10.18% E -4.16% K -7.02% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 37.81%EV -7.99% E -3.26% K -5.51% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.38%EV -2.01% E -0.529% K -0.718% G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-30 20:49
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82% NM 36.59%EV -10.18% E -4.16% K -7.02% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 38.15%EV -11.75% E -5.00% K -8.70% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 25.25%EV -8.46% E -2.38% K -3.32% G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-04 10:50
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67% NM 37.27%EV -12.02% E -5.01% K -8.58% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 38.89%EV -13.63% E -5.92% K -10.48% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 23.85%EV -3.30% E -0.880% K -1.20% G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-01 00:29
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67% NM 35.94%EV -12.02% E -5.01% K -8.58% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 38.68%EV -16.26% E -7.29% K -13.22% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 25.37%EV -12.32% E -3.62% K -5.14% G +0.000%15.9%2026-06-30 23:18
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02% NM 37.31%EV -12.75% E -5.36% K -9.24% G +0.000%2.38I 42.02% NM 37.31%EV -10.62% E -4.46% K -7.70% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.37%EV -9.75% E -2.78% K -3.90% G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-30 17:19
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55% NM 36.82%EV -13.85% E -5.89% K -10.26% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 38.46%EV -15.50% E -6.89% K -12.40% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 24.72%EV -9.75% E -2.78% K -3.90% G +0.000%15.6%2026-06-30 17:39
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48% NM 36.60%EV -15.68% E -6.82% K -12.06% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 38.27%EV -17.38% E -7.90% K -14.48% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 25.13%EV -13.61% E -4.06% K -5.79% G +0.000%18.8%2026-06-30 17:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLA Galaxy (Local)Los Angeles FC (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%1.17I 85.47%1.01I 99.01%170.0%2026-07-01 07:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%1.17I 85.47%1.01I 99.01%170.0%2026-07-01 07:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%1.17I 85.47%1.01I 99.01%170.0%2026-07-01 07:19