Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

LA Galaxy v Austin FC

2026-10-31 21:00 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

LA Galaxy (Local)

Prediction 56.28%1.78fair odd
EV -3.76%
Edge -2.20%
Kelly -5.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%56.28%56.28%56.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.661.661.7163.69%60.33%60.24%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Austin FC (Visit)

Prediction 21.48%4.66fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.262%
Kelly -0.335%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.12%21.48%21.48%22.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.334.354.6025.00%23.10%22.99%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.24%4.50fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -0.483%
Kelly -0.626%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.00%22.24%22.24%22.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.194.204.4025.64%23.86%23.81%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: LA Galaxy (Local): 56.28%; Austin FC (Visit): 21.48%; Draw: 22.24%. For Austin FC (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.66. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.60, with an expected value of -1.21%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.81%EV -3.76%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%EV -1.21%E -0.262%K -0.335%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08%EV -2.13%E -0.483%K -0.626%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-24 22:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.81%EV -3.76%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%EV -1.21%E -0.262%K -0.335%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08%EV -2.13%E -0.483%K -0.626%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-24 22:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.81%EV -3.76%E -2.20%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%EV -1.21%E -0.262%K -0.335%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08%EV -2.13%E -0.483%K -0.626%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-24 22:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -6.01%E -3.60%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -8.72%E -2.05%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -5.46%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 22:10
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.28%EV -6.58%E -3.96%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -6.58%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -6.58%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 22:05
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.28%EV -6.58%E -3.96%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -6.58%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -6.58%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 22:09
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.28%EV -6.58%E -3.96%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -6.58%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -6.58%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 22:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.28%EV -6.58%E -3.96%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -6.58%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -6.58%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 22:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.28%EV -6.58%E -3.96%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -6.58%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -6.58%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 22:05
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.28%EV -6.58%E -3.96%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -6.58%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -6.58%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 22:05
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.28%EV -6.58%E -3.96%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -6.58%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -6.58%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 22:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.99%EV -7.70%E -4.70%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -8.72%E -2.05%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.80%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-24 22:05
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -7.70%E -4.70%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.80%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -8.80%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 22:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -7.70%E -4.70%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.80%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -8.80%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 22:10
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -9.39%E -5.83%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -11.95%E -2.91%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%EV -11.02%E -2.76%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-24 22:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.71%EV -11.64%E -7.41%K -20.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.87%EV -14.09%E -3.52%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.43%EV -13.25%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-24 22:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.