Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Inter Miami CF v Nashville SC

2026-09-12 23:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Inter Miami CF (Local)

Prediction 52.70%1.90fair odd
EV -4.61%
Edge -2.55%
Kelly -5.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.16%52.70%52.70%53.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.761.771.8158.82%56.80%56.50%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nashville SC (Visit)

Prediction 24.55%4.07fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -0.769%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.38%24.55%24.55%24.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.773.803.9527.78%26.53%26.32%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.75%4.40fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -0.504%
Kelly -0.657%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.40%22.75%22.75%23.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.074.104.3025.97%24.58%24.39%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Inter Miami CF (Local): 52.70%; Nashville SC (Visit): 24.55%; Draw: 22.75%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.40. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.30, with an expected value of -2.17%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.22%EV -4.61%E -2.55%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.38%EV -3.04%E -0.769%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.40%EV -2.17%E -0.504%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 00:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.22%EV -4.61%E -2.55%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.38%EV -3.04%E -0.769%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.40%EV -2.17%E -0.504%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 00:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.22%EV -4.61%E -2.55%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.38%EV -3.04%E -0.769%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.40%EV -2.17%E -0.504%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 00:19
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -6.72%E -3.80%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 00:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -6.72%E -3.80%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 00:20
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -6.72%E -3.80%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 00:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -6.72%E -3.80%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 00:20
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -6.72%E -3.80%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 00:19
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -6.72%E -3.80%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 00:20
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -6.72%E -3.80%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 00:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.72%E -3.80%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.95%E -2.12%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.99%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-03 00:10
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.16%EV -8.30%E -4.77%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.40%E -2.85%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -10.13%E -2.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-03 00:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.30%EV -8.83%E -5.10%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -10.40%E -2.85%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.91%EV -10.13%E -2.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-03 00:20
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.26%EV -9.88%E -5.78%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.63%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -11.27%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-03 00:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.25%EV -10.41%E -6.12%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.63%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.07%EV -12.41%E -3.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-03 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.25%EV -10.41%E -6.12%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.63%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.07%EV -12.41%E -3.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-03 00:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 51.32%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%8.9%2026-09-03 04:30