Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Inter Miami CF v Austin FC

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Inter Miami CF (Local)

Prediction 69.15%1.45fair odd
EV -3.19%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -7.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.88%69.14%69.15%70.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.351.361.4076.92%73.94%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Austin FC (Visit)

Prediction 12.45%8.03fair odd
EV +9.55%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.22%
Growth +0.117%

assuming max odds 8.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.87%12.46%12.46%14.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.397.508.8016.67%13.53%13.33%11.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.40%5.44fair odd
EV +1.19%
Edge +0.217%
Kelly +0.265%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.13%18.40%18.39%20.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.205.055.005.5023.81%19.79%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Inter Miami CF (Local): 69.15%; Austin FC (Visit): 12.45%; Draw: 18.40%. For Austin FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.03. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.55%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.81%EV -5.26%E -3.84%K -14.22%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.87%EV +9.55%E +1.08%K +1.22%G +0.117%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.32%EV -8.93%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 23:04
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.81%EV -5.26%E -3.84%K -14.22%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.87%EV +9.55%E +1.08%K +1.22%G +0.117%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.32%EV -8.93%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 23:05
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.83%EV -5.95%E -4.38%K -16.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV +5.81%E +0.684%K +0.775%G +0.045%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -8.01%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 23:08
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.38%EV -6.64%E -4.92%K -18.98%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.52%EV +2.70%E +0.327%K +0.372%G +0.010%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.41%E -0.649%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 23:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.15%EV -8.03%E -6.03%K -24.32%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.38%EV +2.08%E +0.253%K +0.289%G +0.006%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -7.09%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 23:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.81%EV -4.57%E -3.31%K -12.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.04%EV -0.412%E -0.051%K -0.059%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 18.14%EV -2.30%E -0.434%K -0.535%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.81%EV -4.57%E -3.31%K -12.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.04%EV -0.412%E -0.051%K -0.059%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 18.14%EV -2.30%E -0.434%K -0.535%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 23:14
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -5.95%E -4.38%K -16.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -0.412%E -0.051%K -0.059%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -8.01%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 23:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -6.64%E -4.92%K -18.98%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -0.412%E -0.051%K -0.059%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.01%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 23:15
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -8.03%E -6.03%K -24.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -0.412%E -0.051%K -0.059%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -3.41%E -0.649%K -0.802%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 23:03
TAB🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -6.64%E -4.92%K -18.98%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -0.412%E -0.051%K -0.059%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -12.61%E -2.65%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 23:24
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -8.03%E -6.03%K -24.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -0.412%E -0.051%K -0.059%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.01%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 23:24
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -8.03%E -6.03%K -24.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -0.412%E -0.051%K -0.059%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.01%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 23:25
GTbets🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.65%EV -3.88%E -2.79%K -9.94%G +0.000%7.79I 12.84%NM 12.43%EV -3.03%E -0.388%K -0.446%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV -0.648%E -0.120%K -0.147%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 22:15
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.17%EV -3.88%E -2.79%K -9.94%G +0.000%7.79I 12.84%NM 12.34%EV -3.03%E -0.388%K -0.446%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.49%EV -4.33%E -0.832%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 23:15
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.97%EV -5.95%E -4.38%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.93%EV -3.52%E -0.455%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -15.37%E -3.34%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 23:24
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.33%EV -3.19%E -2.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.62%EV -4.27%E -0.555%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 18.04%EV -1.02%E -0.189%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 23:20
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.81%EV -3.19%E -2.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.84%EV -6.64%E -0.885%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -3.41%E -0.649%K -0.802%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.81%EV -3.19%E -2.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.84%EV -6.64%E -0.885%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -3.41%E -0.649%K -0.802%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.81%EV -3.19%E -2.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.84%EV -6.64%E -0.885%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -3.41%E -0.649%K -0.802%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.81%EV -3.19%E -2.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.84%EV -6.64%E -0.885%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -3.41%E -0.649%K -0.802%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 23:00
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.00%EV -5.95%E -4.38%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.64%E -0.885%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV +1.19%E +0.217%K +0.265%G +0.003%5.0%2026-04-04 23:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.00%EV -5.95%E -4.38%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.64%E -0.885%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV +1.19%E +0.217%K +0.265%G +0.003%5.0%2026-04-04 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -7.33%E -5.47%K -21.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -6.64%E -0.885%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV +1.19%E +0.217%K +0.265%G +0.003%6.1%2026-04-04 23:13
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.94%EV -5.95%E -4.38%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -6.64%E -0.885%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.56%EV -7.09%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 23:24
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.94%EV -5.95%E -4.38%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -6.64%E -0.885%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.56%EV -7.09%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 23:25
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.95%E -4.38%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -6.64%E -0.885%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -8.01%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 23:19
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.03%E -6.03%K -24.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -6.64%E -0.885%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.01%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 23:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -8.03%E -6.03%K -24.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -6.64%E -0.885%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -9.85%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 23:25
Bet Right🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -8.03%E -6.03%K -24.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -6.64%E -0.885%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -9.85%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 23:14
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -4.57%E -3.31%K -12.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -8.01%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 23:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.69%EV -5.95%E -4.38%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -4.33%E -0.832%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 23:00
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.69%EV -5.95%E -4.38%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -4.33%E -0.832%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.69%EV -5.95%E -4.38%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -4.33%E -0.832%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 23:00
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.69%EV -5.95%E -4.38%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -4.33%E -0.832%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 23:01
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.69%EV -5.95%E -4.38%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -4.33%E -0.832%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 23:00
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.69%EV -5.95%E -4.38%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -4.33%E -0.832%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 23:00
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -5.95%E -4.38%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -6.17%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -5.95%E -4.38%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -6.17%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 23:00
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -5.95%E -4.38%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -8.01%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 23:14
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.95%E -4.38%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -11.69%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 23:20
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.95%E -4.38%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -11.69%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 23:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.95%E -4.38%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -11.69%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 23:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.95%E -4.38%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -11.69%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 23:20
TABtouch🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -7.33%E -5.47%K -21.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -8.01%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 23:01
PMU (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.03%E -6.03%K -24.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -8.01%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 23:01
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.03%E -6.03%K -24.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -8.01%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.03%E -6.03%K -24.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -8.01%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 22:19
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.03%E -6.03%K -24.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -8.01%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.03%E -6.03%K -24.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -8.01%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.59%EV -8.72%E -6.60%K -27.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -9.85%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 23:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.59%EV -8.72%E -6.60%K -27.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -9.85%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 23:00
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -8.03%E -6.03%K -24.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -12.61%E -2.65%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 66.88%EV -10.10%E -7.77%K -33.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.42%EV -12.86%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.70%EV -22.73%E -5.41%K -7.10%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-04 23:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.35%EV -8.03%E -6.03%K -24.32%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -15.97%E -2.37%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -8.01%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 23:11
Winamax (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.70%EV -8.03%E -6.03%K -24.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -19.08%E -2.94%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.24%EV -2.49%E -0.469%K -0.579%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 23:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.43%EV -10.10%E -7.77%K -33.67%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 13.91%EV -21.57%E -3.42%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.65%EV -13.53%E -2.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-04 23:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.48%EV -10.10%E -7.77%K -33.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -25.31%E -4.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.90%EV -9.85%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-04 23:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.53%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.05%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.42%0.6%2026-04-04 23:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.53%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.05%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.42%0.6%2026-04-04 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.53%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.05%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.42%0.6%2026-04-04 23:20
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.53%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.05%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.42%0.6%2026-04-04 23:24
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 70.26%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.18%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.56%1.7%2026-04-04 23:20
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 70.58%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.78%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.64%1.9%2026-04-04 23:20