The School of Odds

Houston Dynamo v Austin FC

2026-07-26 00:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Houston Dynamo (Local)

Prediction 61.10%1.64fair odd
EV -3.46%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -5.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.91%61.09%61.12%62.66%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.431.511.511.5870%66%66%63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Austin FC (Visit)

Prediction 17.27%5.79fair odd
EV +0.497%
Edge +0.085%
Kelly +0.103%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 5.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.27%17.26%17.22%19.16%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.405.285.255.8223%19%19%17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 21.63%4.62fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -0.590%
Kelly -0.759%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.01%21.66%21.66%22.83%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.854.214.204.5026%24%24%22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 61.39%EV -3.46%E -2.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.82I 17.18%NM 16.67%EV +0.497%E +0.085%K +0.103%G +0.001%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.94%EV -4.39%E -0.993%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-19 21:20
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.51%EV -7.13%E -4.69%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.38%EV +0.152%E +0.026%K +0.032%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%EV -2.66%E -0.590%K -0.759%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 13:15
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -0.712%E -0.124%K -0.150%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -2.66%E -0.590%K -0.759%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 13:14
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.12%EV -7.13%E -4.69%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -0.712%E -0.124%K -0.150%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -4.82%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 13:14
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.66%EV -9.57%E -6.47%K -19.94%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.27%EV -1.58%E -0.276%K -0.335%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -4.82%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-19 13:15
LowVig.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 61.39%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.99%EV -3.30%E -0.590%K -0.718%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62%EV -4.82%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 19:40
BetOnline.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 61.39%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.99%EV -3.30%E -0.590%K -0.718%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62%EV -4.82%E -1.10%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 19:40
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -7.13%E -4.69%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -3.30%E -0.590%K -0.718%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -8.07%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 21:15
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 61.02%EV -4.68%E -3.00%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.57I 17.95%NM 17.09%EV -3.82%E -0.686%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.88%EV -5.90%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 00:05
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -5.03%E -0.914%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -2.66%E -0.590%K -0.759%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 14:35
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -5.03%E -0.914%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -2.66%E -0.590%K -0.759%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 14:34
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -8.35%E -5.57%K -16.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.03%E -0.914%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -6.33%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-19 13:55
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.35%E -5.57%K -16.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -5.03%E -0.914%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.15%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-19 13:14
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.35%E -5.57%K -16.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -5.03%E -0.914%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.15%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-19 13:13
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.35%E -5.57%K -16.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -5.03%E -0.914%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -11.31%E -2.76%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-19 14:29
betano_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -8.35%E -5.57%K -16.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -5.03%E -0.914%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -11.31%E -2.76%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-19 14:28
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.08%EV -3.46%E -2.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.58%EV -6.76%E -1.25%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -8.07%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 10:29
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 60.50%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.46%EV -8.48%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -9.15%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 14:34
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -9.35%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -6.33%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-19 14:35
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -5.90%E -3.83%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -9.35%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -8.07%E -1.90%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-19 15:15
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.35%E -5.57%K -16.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -9.35%E -1.78%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.15%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-19 21:20
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -8.35%E -5.57%K -16.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -11.94%E -2.34%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -9.15%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-19 14:35
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 60.08%EV -7.74%E -5.12%K -15.17%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.79%EV -11.94%E -2.34%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -11.31%E -2.76%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-19 23:35
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -5.29%E -3.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -13.66%E -2.73%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.47%E -3.37%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-19 16:30
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.66%E -2.73%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.47%E -3.37%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-19 16:30
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.66%E -2.73%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.47%E -3.37%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-19 16:30
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.66%E -2.73%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.47%E -3.37%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-19 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.35%E -5.57%K -16.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.66%E -2.73%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.15%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-19 14:35
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.35%E -5.57%K -16.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.66%E -2.73%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.15%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-19 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.35%E -5.57%K -16.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.66%E -2.73%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.15%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-19 14:35
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.35%E -5.57%K -16.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.66%E -2.73%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.15%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-19 14:35
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.35%E -5.57%K -16.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.66%E -2.73%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.15%E -2.18%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-19 16:40
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -12.01%E -8.34%K -27.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -13.66%E -2.73%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -13.47%E -3.37%K -4.49%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-19 13:15
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.18%EV -10.79%E -7.39%K -23.46%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.75%EV -14.53%E -2.93%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.07%EV -13.91%E -3.49%K -4.67%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-19 14:35
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.91%EV -12.01%E -8.34%K -27.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.97%EV -17.12%E -3.57%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.12%EV -15.64%E -4.01%K -5.39%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-20 00:35
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 59.68%EV -10.79%E -7.39%K -23.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.54%EV -18.84%E -4.01%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.78%EV -13.47%E -3.37%K -4.49%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-19 14:35
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 58.95%EV -12.63%E -8.83%K -29.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.16%EV -24.02%E -5.46%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.89%EV -16.72%E -4.34%K -5.87%G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-19 14:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 61.30%5.26I 19.01%NM 17.95%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.75%5.9%2026-07-20 13:45
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 59.64%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.01%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.35%13.3%2026-07-19 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-20 12:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-20 12:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-20 12:45