The School of Odds

FC Cincinnati v Vancouver Whitecaps FC

2026-07-22 23:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

FC Cincinnati (Local)

Prediction 27.39%3.65fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -0.704%
Kelly -0.979%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.71%27.33%27.40%28.59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.003.323.323.5633%30%30%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Vancouver Whitecaps FC (Visit)

Prediction 49.22%2.03fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -3.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.57%49.51%49.23%51.17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.721.851.851.9758%54%54%51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 23.39%4.27fair odd
EV +2.93%
Edge +0.666%
Kelly +0.862%
Growth +0.025%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.28%23.15%23.38%24.21%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.653.993.954.4027%25%25%23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.63%EV -7.96%E -4.26%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV +2.93%E +0.666%K +0.862%G +0.025%5.6%2026-07-12 08:59
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%EV -9.93%E -5.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV +2.93%E +0.666%K +0.862%G +0.025%6.8%2026-07-12 08:59
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -8.94%E -4.83%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV +1.29%E +0.298%K +0.388%G +0.005%7.5%2026-07-12 08:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -8.94%E -4.83%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV +1.29%E +0.298%K +0.388%G +0.005%7.5%2026-07-12 08:55
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -6.48%E -3.41%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV +0.591%E +0.137%K +0.179%G +0.001%6.2%2026-07-12 08:59
1xBet3.56I 28.09%NM 27.27%EV -2.51%E -0.704%K -0.979%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.28%EV -3.04%E -1.54%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.45%EV -3.15%E -0.761%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-12 10:20
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -8.94%E -4.83%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-12 10:17
betano_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.63%E -2.92%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -8.94%E -4.83%K -10.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-12 10:20
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -15.10%E -4.87%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -11.40%E -6.33%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-12 08:57
Marathon Bet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -6.34%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.32%EV -6.97%E -3.69%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -6.90%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 10:19
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -5.52%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.57%EV -4.02%E -2.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 10:04
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -5.52%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.57%EV -4.02%E -2.06%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 10:04
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.00%E -3.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -9.93%E -5.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.86%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-12 08:34
ReBet3.32I 30.12%NM 27.36%EV -9.08%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.36%EV -9.43%E -5.13%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-12 08:34
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -15.10%E -4.87%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.39%EV -13.37%E -7.60%K -17.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.58%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-12 08:29
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.94%E -4.83%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -12.28%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-12 08:54
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.94%E -4.83%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -12.28%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-12 08:54
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.94%E -4.83%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -12.28%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-12 08:54
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.89%E -2.03%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.94%E -4.83%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -12.28%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-12 08:54
Betclic (FR)3.17I 31.55%NM 27.18%EV -13.19%E -4.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 49.53%EV -14.36%E -8.25%K -19.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.29%EV -13.45%E -3.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-12 08:29
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.04%EV -17.84%E -5.95%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 48.91%EV -15.34%E -8.92%K -21.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.05%EV -14.61%E -4.00%K -5.52%G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-12 08:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.