The School of Odds
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FC Cincinnati v New England Revolution

2026-10-14 23:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Cincinnati (Local)

Prediction 46.40%2.16fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -2.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.26%46.47%46.22%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.972.002.1055.56%50.74%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New England Revolution (Visit)

Prediction 30.35%3.29fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -0.799%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.01%30.37%30.31%31.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.013.003.2135.71%33.19%33.33%31.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.24%4.30fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.287%
Kelly -0.375%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.86%23.17%23.47%24.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.923.854.2527.40%25.50%25.97%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Cincinnati (Local): 46.40%; New England Revolution (Visit): 30.35%; Draw: 23.24%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.30. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.25, with an expected value of -1.22%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.21%EV -2.55%E -1.22%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.23%EV -2.56%E -0.799%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.55%EV -4.24%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-04 12:33
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -3.48%E -1.67%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -7.42%E -2.43%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.39%EV -5.87%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 11:55
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -3.48%E -1.67%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -7.42%E -2.43%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.39%EV -5.87%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 11:55
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20%EV -7.42%E -2.43%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39%EV -1.22%E -0.287%K -0.375%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 11:10
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -2.38%E -0.567%K -0.744%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 11:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -2.38%E -0.567%K -0.744%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.27%EV -6.73%E -3.35%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.19%EV -6.51%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -8.19%E -2.07%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-04 12:19
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-04 11:09
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -11.68%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-04 11:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -11.68%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-04 11:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -5.90%E -1.90%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -11.68%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-04 11:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.82%EV -8.12%E -4.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.71%EV -5.30%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -8.19%E -2.07%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-04 11:09
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.84%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-04 11:19
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.26%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.52%EV -15.01%E -5.36%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.22%EV -11.68%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-04 11:34
ReBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.78%EV -9.98%E -5.14%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 29.65%EV -7.12%E -2.33%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -10.51%E -2.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-04 11:10
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.76%EV -10.91%E -5.68%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -8.94%E -2.98%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -10.51%E -2.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-04 11:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.66%EV -12.76%E -6.79%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.25%EV -11.97%E -4.13%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -11.68%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-04 11:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.11%EV -13.69%E -7.36%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.40%EV -9.55%E -3.20%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.49%EV -13.30%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-04 11:07
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 46.54%EV -13.69%E -7.36%K -15.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.37%EV -13.49%E -4.73%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -12.84%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-04 11:10
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.78%EV -15.08%E -8.24%K -18.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.36%EV -12.58%E -4.37%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.86%EV -7.03%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-04 11:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.54%EV -16.47%E -9.15%K -20.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.01%EV -10.46%E -3.54%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.45%EV -15.16%E -4.15%K -5.72%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-04 11:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 45.53%2.94I 34.01%NM 30.35%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.12%12.1%2026-10-04 13:10