The School of Odds
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FC Cincinnati v Nashville SC

2026-11-07 21:00 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Cincinnati (Local)

Prediction 27.13%3.69fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -0.651%
Kelly -0.901%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.69%27.13%27.13%27.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.443.453.6031.25%29.09%28.99%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nashville SC (Visit)

Prediction 50.05%2.00fair odd
EV -3.91%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -4.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.53%50.05%50.05%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.861.871.9256.50%53.66%53.48%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.83%4.38fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -0.430%
Kelly -0.560%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.55%22.83%22.83%23.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.074.104.3026.32%24.56%24.39%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Cincinnati (Local): 27.13%; Nashville SC (Visit): 50.05%; Draw: 22.83%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.38. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.30, with an expected value of -1.85%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%EV -2.34%E -0.651%K -0.901%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.51%EV -3.91%E -2.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%EV -1.85%E -0.430%K -0.560%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-31 21:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%EV -2.34%E -0.651%K -0.901%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.51%EV -3.91%E -2.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%EV -1.85%E -0.430%K -0.560%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-31 21:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%EV -2.34%E -0.651%K -0.901%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.51%EV -3.91%E -2.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%EV -1.85%E -0.430%K -0.560%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-31 21:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.06%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -8.69%E -2.17%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 21:20
Unibet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -6.41%E -1.56%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 21:10
Casumo🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -6.41%E -1.56%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 21:10
BetRivers🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -6.41%E -1.56%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 21:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -6.41%E -1.56%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 21:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -6.41%E -1.56%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 21:10
Bally Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -6.41%E -1.56%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 21:10
betPARX🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -6.41%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -6.41%E -1.56%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 21:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.13%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.69%E -2.17%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 21:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26%EV -9.13%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.63%EV -7.91%E -4.30%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.12%EV -9.84%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-31 21:10
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.13%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -8.41%E -4.60%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -9.84%E -2.49%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 21:10
TABtouch🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.54%EV -9.42%E -5.20%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -12.12%E -3.15%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-31 21:10
PMU (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -13.19%E -4.12%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 49.53%EV -11.42%E -6.45%K -14.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%EV -13.26%E -3.49%K -4.74%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-31 21:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 30.53%1.79I 55.87%NM 47.42%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.05%17.8%2026-11-01 00:30