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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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FC Cincinnati v D.C. United

开赛时间： 2026-09-06 01:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC Cincinnati (主队)

预测 55.26%1.81公平赔率
EV -3.30%
优势 -1.89%
Kelly -4.40%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.75

博彩公司预测分布
53.02%55.35%55.33%58.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.581.681.671.7563.29%59.65%59.88%57.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

D.C. United (客队)

预测 22.42%4.46公平赔率
EV +9.21%
优势 +1.89%
Kelly +2.38%
增长率 +0.219%

假设最高赔率为 4.87

博彩公司预测分布
19.87%22.35%22.43%24.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.804.184.034.8726.32%23.95%24.84%20.53%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 22.32%4.48公平赔率
EV +0.438%
优势 +0.097%
Kelly +0.125%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 4.50

博彩公司预测分布
21.12%22.30%22.24%23.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.904.164.184.5025.64%24.04%23.95%22.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：FC Cincinnati (主队)：55.26%；D.C. United (客队)：22.42%；平局：22.32%。 对于“D.C. United (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.46。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.87，对应+9.21%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.63%EV -8.83%E -5.35%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.87%EV +9.21%E +1.89%K +2.38%G +0.219%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.50%EV +0.438%E +0.097%K +0.125%G +0.001%3.4%2026-09-05 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.63%EV -8.83%E -5.35%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.87%EV +9.21%E +1.89%K +2.38%G +0.219%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.50%EV +0.438%E +0.097%K +0.125%G +0.001%3.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.13%EV -10.48%E -6.47%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV +3.15%E +0.685%K +0.875%G +0.028%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -1.79%E -0.408%K -0.528%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:15
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.83%EV -7.72%E -4.62%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV +0.909%E +0.202%K +0.260%G +0.002%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -4.03%E -0.936%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -7.72%E -4.62%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -1.33%E -0.303%K -0.392%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:46
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -11.59%E -7.24%K -19.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -1.33%E -0.303%K -0.392%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -5.14%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-05 23:15
ReBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.06%E -3.57%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.82%EV -2.45%E -0.564%K -0.733%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -5.14%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:45
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.13%EV -11.59%E -7.24%K -19.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -2.90%E -0.670%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-05 23:15
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.53%EV -3.30%E -1.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -3.58%E -0.832%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 01:14
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.06%E -3.57%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -3.58%E -0.832%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -4.03%E -0.936%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 01:15
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -7.72%E -4.62%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -3.58%E -0.832%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 01:15
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.72%E -4.62%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-05 23:55
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -8.83%E -5.35%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 01:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -8.83%E -5.35%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 01:15
Caesars🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.38%EV -4.41%E -2.55%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.23%EV -9.18%E -2.27%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 01:15
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -7.72%E -4.62%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -10.30%E -2.58%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -1.79%E -0.408%K -0.528%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 01:15
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -6.62%E -3.92%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.30%E -2.58%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 01:15
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -6.06%E -3.57%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.30%E -2.58%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -12.95%E -3.32%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 01:15
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -6.06%E -3.57%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.30%E -2.58%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -12.95%E -3.32%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-05 23:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -6.06%E -3.57%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.30%E -2.58%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -12.95%E -3.32%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 01:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -6.06%E -3.57%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.30%E -2.58%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -12.95%E -3.32%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 01:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.25%EV -8.83%E -5.35%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -10.30%E -2.58%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.97%EV -7.37%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-05 23:48
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -10.48%E -6.47%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -10.30%E -2.58%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 01:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.65%EV -12.69%E -8.03%K -21.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -10.30%E -2.58%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.37%EV -12.28%E -3.13%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-05 23:50
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -3.30%E -1.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -11.42%E -2.89%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.61%EV -7.37%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 01:15
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -3.30%E -1.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -11.42%E -2.89%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.61%EV -7.37%E -1.78%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 01:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.70%EV -11.59%E -7.24%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.56%EV -11.42%E -2.89%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 01:15
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -3.30%E -1.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -12.55%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 01:15
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.96%E -2.88%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -13.67%E -3.55%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 01:15
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -4.41%E -2.55%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -14.79%E -3.89%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 01:20
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.73%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.77%1.1%2026-09-06 01:15
Matchbook◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.54%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.72%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.73%2.3%2026-09-06 01:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.68%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.65%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%2.6%2026-09-06 01:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.68%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.65%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%2.6%2026-09-06 01:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.68%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.65%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%2.6%2026-09-06 01:15
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%3.1%2026-09-06 01:25