The School of Odds

D.C. United v Toronto FC

2026-07-25 23:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

D.C. United (Local)

Prediction 49.64%2.01fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -3.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.29%49.61%49.60%50.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.721.861.861.9558%54%54%51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Toronto FC (Visit)

Prediction 24.54%4.08fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -0.464%
Kelly -0.619%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.53%24.59%24.52%26.22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.353.713.704.0030%27%27%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 25.83%3.87fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -0.491%
Kelly -0.666%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.86%25.80%25.88%26.71%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.253.553.593.8031%28%28%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.68%EV -3.20%E -1.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.28%EV -2.10%E -0.527%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.04%EV -3.93%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-19 16:30
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.20%E -1.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 13:05
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.20%E -1.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 16:35
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.20%E -1.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 13:05
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.28%EV -4.20%E -2.17%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -3.16%E -0.842%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:35
SportsBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.69%E -2.44%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -6.76%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -1.86%E -0.491%K -0.666%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 16:35
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 49.90%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.07%EV -2.84%E -0.716%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.04%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-19 19:30
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 49.90%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.07%EV -2.84%E -0.716%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.04%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-19 19:30
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 49.83%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -3.08%E -0.780%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV -5.74%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 13:05
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -5.19%E -2.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -1.86%E -0.464%K -0.619%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 13:25
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.69%E -2.99%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 16:34
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -5.69%E -2.99%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -12.90%E -3.63%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.32%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 16:35
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -5.69%E -2.99%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -14.12%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 16:35
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -6.68%E -3.55%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.30%EV -5.78%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -7.55%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 14:20
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -6.68%E -3.55%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-19 17:03
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -7.18%E -3.84%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -1.86%E -0.464%K -0.619%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 13:19
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.55%EV -7.18%E -3.84%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-19 16:35
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -7.18%E -3.84%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -6.76%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -8.32%E -2.34%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 15:15
MyBookie.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -7.18%E -3.84%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.76%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-19 13:10
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -8.17%E -4.42%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 16:34
ReBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.23%EV -8.17%E -4.42%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.48%EV -11.16%E -3.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-19 13:35
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.17%E -4.42%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-19 16:30
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.17%E -4.42%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-19 16:35
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.17%E -4.42%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-19 16:30
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.17%E -4.42%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-19 16:30
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -9.16%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-19 16:35
betano_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -9.16%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-19 16:30
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -9.16%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-19 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.16%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-19 16:30
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.16%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-19 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.16%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-19 16:30
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -9.16%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-19 16:30
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.16%E -5.01%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -14.12%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -9.61%E -2.75%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-19 16:35
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.65%E -5.92%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.03%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-19 13:30
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.21%EV -11.64%E -6.54%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -14.12%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.76%EV -12.19%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-19 13:05
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 49.60%EV -12.14%E -6.86%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.19%EV -10.93%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.21%EV -13.49%E -4.03%K -5.74%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-19 13:04
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 49.57%EV -13.63%E -7.83%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.30%EV -12.90%E -3.63%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.14%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.42%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-19 23:35
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 48.96%EV -14.62%E -8.50%K -20.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.14%EV -17.80%E -5.31%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.91%EV -16.07%E -4.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%18.8%2026-07-19 13:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 49.50%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.20%6.9%2026-07-20 13:45
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 48.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%13.3%2026-07-19 13:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-19 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-19 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-19 23:30